Predictions › France › Strasbourg vs Brest

Ligue 1Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 France time

Strasbourg vs Brest prediction

Stade de la Meinau

StrasbourgHome

1.67 : 1.37

expected goals

BrestAway

44%Strasbourg

25%Draw

31%Brest

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Brest is Strasbourg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Strasbourg to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Strasbourg 1.7, Brest 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Strasbourg to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Strasbourg 44%, the draw 25% and Brest 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Strasbourg the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
Strasbourg took 3 points from their last 5 games and Brest took 10 from 5. Brest come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Strasbourg won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Brest won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Strasbourg score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Brest score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Strasbourg games and 11 of Brest games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Strasbourg won 1 and Brest won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Brest 1, Strasbourg 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Strasbourgrecent form-4%
Brestrecent form+3%

Strasbourg form L W L L LBrest form W W L D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Strasbourg vs Brest: Strasbourg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Strasbourg host Brest in the Ligue 1 on Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 at Stade de la Meinau. Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Brest is Strasbourg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Strasbourg form

Strasbourg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Brest form

Brest have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Strasbourg won 1, Brest won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Brest 1, Strasbourg 2.

Our call

We expect Strasbourg to score about 1.7 goals and Brest about 1.4. That points to Strasbourg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Strasbourg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Strasbourg	Brest
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	2	6
Losses	11	9
Goals scored	34	29
Goals conceded	39	33
Scored per game	1.7	1.4
Conceded per game	1.9	1.6
Home record	4W 1D 4L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	3W 1D 7L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	5%	15%
Both teams scored	65%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Strasbourg to win	42%	2.38	2.15	-9.8%
A Draw	25%	4.07	3.65	-10.3%
Brest to win	31%	3.27	3.00	-8.1%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.61	-15.7%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.46	2.20	-10.8%
Strasbourg -0.5	42%	2.37	2.05	-13.6%
Brest +0.5	51%	1.96	1.63	-17.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.77
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Strasbourg or Draw	69%	1.45
Brest or Draw	56%	1.78
Strasbourg to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.35
Brest to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.86
Strasbourg clean sheet	25%	3.94
Brest clean sheet	19%	5.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

2-19.1%

1-27.5%

1-07.3%

2-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Ligue 1

Gio Reyna Hurt After Scoring Ahead of USMNT Matches

Gio Reyna scored for Strasbourg but left with an apparent injury before the USMNT Nations League matches.

7 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Strasbourg vs Brest?

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Brest is Strasbourg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Strasbourg vs Brest?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Strasbourg to score 1.7 goals and Brest 1.4.

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Brest?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Strasbourg last 20 games and 12 of Brest last 20.

How are Strasbourg playing?

How are Brest playing?

What happened when Strasbourg and Brest last met?

It ended Brest 1, Strasbourg 2. In the last 2 meetings Strasbourg won 1 and Brest won 1.

What is the best bet for Strasbourg vs Brest?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Strasbourg against Brest. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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