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Predictions › France › Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain
Ligue 1Sat 17 Oct, 15:15 France time

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Stade de la Meinau

StrasbourgHome
1.23 : 2.29
expected goals
Paris Saint-GermainAway
19%Strasbourg
20%Draw
61%PSG
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Strasbourg 1.2, Paris Saint-Germain 2.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Strasbourg 19%, the draw 20% and Paris Saint-Germain 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.41.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Strasbourg took 7 points from their last 5 games and Paris Saint-Germain took 10 from 5. Paris Saint-Germain come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Strasbourg won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Paris Saint-Germain won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Strasbourg score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Paris Saint-Germain score 2.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Strasbourg games and 13 of Paris Saint-Germain games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Strasbourg won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Strasbourg 1, Paris Saint-Germain 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PSGrecent form+3%
Strasbourg form L D W W LPSG form W W W L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Strasbourg host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on Sat 17 Oct, 15:15 at Stade de la Meinau. Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Strasbourg form

Strasbourg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Strasbourg won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Strasbourg 1, Paris Saint-Germain 2.

Our call

We expect Strasbourg to score about 1.2 goals and Paris Saint-Germain about 2.3. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.5 at 2.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StrasbourgPSG
Games played2020
Wins912
Draws45
Losses73
Goals scored3545
Goals conceded3221
Scored per game1.82.3
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 3D 3L6W 2D 2L
Away record5W 1D 4L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets10%40%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Strasbourg to win19%5.386.00+11.6%
A Draw20%5.005.25+5.1%
Paris Saint-Germain to win57%1.741.41-19.0%
Over 3.5 goals47%2.131.77-16.9%
Under 3.5 goals46%2.161.91-11.6%
Strasbourg +1.552%1.921.69-12.1%
Paris Saint-Germain -1.541%2.421.95-19.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.14
Both teams to score64%1.56
Strasbourg or Draw39%2.55
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw81%1.23
Strasbourg to win and Over 2.514%7.37
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.547%2.14
Strasbourg clean sheet10%9.90
Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet29%3.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
1-18.8%
0-27.8%
1-37.3%
0-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Kylian Mbappe Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Liverpool

Kylian Mbappe has revealed how his mother fell in love with Anfield and urged him to sign for Liverpool before he chose Paris Saint Germain.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Strasbourg to score 1.2 goals and Paris Saint-Germain 2.3.

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Strasbourg last 20 games and 12 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20.

How are Strasbourg playing?

Strasbourg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Strasbourg and Paris Saint-Germain last met?

It ended Strasbourg 1, Paris Saint-Germain 2. In the last 2 meetings Strasbourg won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 1.

What is the best bet for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Strasbourg against PSG. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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