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Predictions › United Kingdom › Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Stadium of Light

SunderlandHome
1.24 : 1.49
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionAway
31%Sunderland
27%Draw
42%Brighton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sunderland 1.2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 27% and Brighton & Hove Albion 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 11/8.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sunderland took 7 points from their last 5 games and Brighton & Hove Albion took 10 from 5. Brighton & Hove Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sunderland won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Brighton & Hove Albion won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sunderland score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Sunderland games and 13 of Brighton & Hove Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sunderland 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brightonrecent form+3%
Sunderland form L W L W DBrighton form W W W D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Brighton & Hove Albion shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sunderland host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Stadium of Light. Our prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sunderland won 0, Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sunderland 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.

Our call

We expect Sunderland to score about 1.2 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.5. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunderlandBrighton
Games played2020
Wins811
Draws42
Losses87
Goals scored2337
Goals conceded2923
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record5W 1D 4L6W 1D 2L
Away record3W 3D 4L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sunderland to win30%12/59/5-16.5%
A Draw26%11/45/2-10.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion to win39%6/411/8-7.5%
Over 2.5 goals49%21/204/5-13.4%
Under 2.5 goals45%5/410/11-12.6%
Sunderland +0.555%4/58/15-15.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion -0.539%8/56/5-15.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals51%10/11
Over 3.5 goals29%12/5
Both teams to score56%4/5
Sunderland or Draw58%8/11
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw69%4/9
Sunderland to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.526%11/4
Sunderland clean sheet23%7/2
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet29%5/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
0-19.0%
1-29.0%
2-17.5%
1-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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Premier League Panel Backs Controversial Referee Decisions

A Premier League panel has backed refereeing decisions in recent matches involving Manchester City and Everton.

7 hours ago
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Arteta puts past feud aside as Arsenal look to equal club record

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta says his past dispute with Brighton boss Fabian Hurzeler is over as the Gunners target an eighth straight win.

18 Sept 2026
Premier League

Brighton Must Stay Humble After Historic Win Ahead of Arsenal Clash

Brighton manager Fabian Hürzeler wants his players to stay humble after making history with a 3-2 comeback win against Manchester United.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Sunderland to score 1.2 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.5.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Sunderland last 20 games and 7 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20.

How are Sunderland playing?

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Sunderland and Brighton & Hove Albion last met?

It ended Sunderland 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1. In the last 2 meetings Sunderland won 0 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 1.

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sunderland against Brighton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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