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Predictions › United Kingdom › Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion
ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea CityHome
1.33 : 1.14
expected goals
West Bromwich AlbionAway
40%Swansea
29%Draw
31%West Brom
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion is Swansea City to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Swansea City to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Swansea City 1.3, West Bromwich Albion 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Swansea City 40%, the draw 29% and West Bromwich Albion 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Swansea City the favourite at 6/4.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Swansea City took 3 points from their last 5 games and West Bromwich Albion took 11 from 5. West Bromwich Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Swansea City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. West Bromwich Albion won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Swansea City score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. West Bromwich Albion score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Swansea City games and 11 of West Bromwich Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Swansea City won 1 and West Bromwich Albion won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Swansea City 2, West Bromwich Albion 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Swansearecent form-4%
  • West Bromrecent form+3%
Swansea form L L W L LWest Brom form D D W D WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion: Swansea City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Swansea City host West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium. Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion is Swansea City to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Swansea City won 1, West Bromwich Albion won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Swansea City 2, West Bromwich Albion 2.

Our call

We expect Swansea City to score about 1.3 goals and West Bromwich Albion about 1.1. That points to Swansea City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SwanseaWest Brom
Games played2020
Wins1010
Draws35
Losses75
Goals scored2933
Goals conceded2421
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record5W 2D 3L5W 4D 1L
Away record5W 1D 4L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Swansea City to win39%6/46/4-3.6%
A Draw28%13/59/4-8.7%
West Bromwich Albion to win31%9/49/5-14.3%
Over 2.5 goals45%5/410/11-14.8%
Under 2.5 goals48%21/204/5-12.8%
Swansea City -0.539%8/55/4-11.0%
West Bromwich Albion +0.555%5/61/2-18.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%2/5
Over 2.5 goals45%5/4
Over 3.5 goals24%10/3
Both teams to score51%Evens
Swansea City or Draw69%4/9
West Bromwich Albion or Draw60%4/6
Swansea City to win and Over 2.522%7/2
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Swansea City clean sheet32%85/40
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet26%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.5%
0-09.2%
0-18.8%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

West Ham Fan Anger Grows as West Brom Earn 3-1 Win

West Brom secured a 3-1 win at London Stadium, leaving West Ham manager Nuno Espirito Santo under heavy pressure from supporters.

31 Oct 2026
Premier League

Former West Brom Striker Saido Berahino Retires at 33

Former West Brom and Stoke forward Saido Berahino has retired at age 33 and will take on a coaching role with Burundi.

19 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?

Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion is Swansea City to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Swansea City to score 1.3 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.1.

Will both teams score in Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Swansea City last 20 games and 13 of West Bromwich Albion last 20.

How are Swansea City playing?

Swansea City have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Swansea City and West Bromwich Albion last met?

It ended Swansea City 2, West Bromwich Albion 2. In the last 3 meetings Swansea City won 1 and West Bromwich Albion won 1.

What is the best bet for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swansea against West Brom. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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