Predictions › United Kingdom › Swansea City vs West Ham United

ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Swansea City vs West Ham United prediction

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea CityHome

1.62 : 1.30

expected goals

West Ham UnitedAway

44%Swansea

26%Draw

30%West Ham

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Ham United is Swansea City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Swansea City to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Swansea City 1.6, West Ham United 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Swansea City to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 5/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Swansea City 44%, the draw 26% and West Ham United 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Swansea City took 10 points from their last 5 games and West Ham United took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Swansea City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. West Ham United won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Swansea City score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. West Ham United score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Swansea City games and 16 of West Ham United games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Swansearecent form+3%
West Hamrecent form+3%

Swansea form W W L D WWest Ham form D L W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Swansea City vs West Ham United: Swansea City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Swansea City host West Ham United in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium. Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Ham United is Swansea City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Swansea City to score about 1.6 goals and West Ham United about 1.3. That points to Swansea City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Swansea City to win and Over 2.5 at 5/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Swansea	West Ham
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	9
Draws	5	5
Losses	5	6
Goals scored	30	43
Goals conceded	23	28
Scored per game	1.5	2.1
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	4W 3D 3L	7W 1D 3L
Away record	6W 2D 2L	2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	56%	4/5
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2/1
Both teams to score	59%	4/6
Swansea City or Draw	70%	4/9
West Ham United or Draw	56%	4/5
Swansea City to win and Over 2.5	29%	12/5
West Ham United to win and Over 2.5	19%	4/1
Swansea City clean sheet	27%	13/5
West Ham United clean sheet	20%	4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%

2-19.2%

1-08.0%

1-27.4%

2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

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19 Sept 2026

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One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026

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Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

11 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Swansea City vs West Ham United?

Our prediction for Swansea City vs West Ham United is Swansea City to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Swansea City vs West Ham United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Swansea City to score 1.6 goals and West Ham United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Swansea City vs West Ham United?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Swansea City last 20 games and 12 of West Ham United last 20.

How are Swansea City playing?

How are West Ham United playing?

What is the best bet for Swansea City vs West Ham United?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Swansea against West Ham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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