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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys
NFLThu 8 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

AT&T Stadium

Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway
24.3 : 28.1
projected points
Dallas CowboysHome
37%Buccaneers
63%Cowboys
Eagle safe pickUnder 59.5 points
-277

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.3 and Dallas Cowboys 28.1. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -277.

Prediction
Dallas Cowboys to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Dallas Cowboys 28
Projected total
52.4 points
Best bet
Under 59.5 points at -277

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 59.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Cowboys 63% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Dallas Cowboys the favourite at -205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Cowboys won 2 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 1 of their last 5. Dallas Cowboys come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Cowboys won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Cowboys score 28.0 points a game and let in 27.4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 20.5 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 55.4 and 44.2 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 59.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cowboysrest between games-5%
  • Buccaneersrest between games-5%
  • Buccaneersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys: Dallas Cowboys are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Cowboys host Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Thu 8 Oct, 20:15 at AT&T Stadium. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.3 and Dallas Cowboys 28.1. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -277.

Dallas Cowboys form

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 560 points scored and 548 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score about 24.3 points and Dallas Cowboys about 28.1. That points to Dallas Cowboys to win. Our safest bet is Under 59.5 points at -277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CowboysBuccaneers
Games played2020
Wins97
Losses1013
Points scored560410
Points conceded548474
Scored per game28.020.5
Conceded per game27.423.7
Home record4W 5L4W 6L
Away record5W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cowboys to win63%-167-205-7.0%
Buccaneers to win34%+193+170-7.7%
Cowboys -3.548%+109-110-8.8%
Buccaneers +3.546%+118-110-12.3%
Over 52.5 points47%+115-110-11.2%
Under 52.5 points47%+112-110-9.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Cowboys spreadCoversFair
Cowboys -10.531%+222
Cowboys -6.542%+137
Cowboys -3.551%-104
Cowboys -0.560%-148
Cowboys +3.571%-240
Total pointsOverUnder
45.570%30%
49.559%41%
52.550%50%
55.541%59%
59.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cowboys +3.5 wins if Cowboys win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Tyler Loop Hits 56-Yard Winner as Ravens Stun Cowboys in Rio

Tyler Loop kicked a 56-yard field goal with no time left to give the Baltimore Ravens a 34-31 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Rio de Janeiro.

28 Sept 2026
NFL

Tampa Bay Blow as Jalen McMillan Re-Injures Knee Against Vikings

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Jalen McMillan has been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Minnesota Vikings after hurting his knee in the first quarter.

27 Sept 2026
NFL

Cowboys and Lions Inquire About Steelers Cornerback Joey Porter Jr

The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions have contacted the Pittsburgh Steelers about a trade for cornerback Joey Porter Jr.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.3 and Dallas Cowboys 28.1. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -277.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys?

We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.3 and Dallas Cowboys 28.1, about 52.4 points in total.

How are Dallas Cowboys playing?

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 560 points scored and 548 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys?

Under 59.5 points at -277, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cowboys against Buccaneers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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