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NHLSat 31 Oct, 14:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators prediction

Bridgestone Arena

Tampa Bay LightningAway
3.4 : 2.7
projected goals
Nashville PredatorsHome
63%Lightning
37%Predators
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-444

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4 and Nashville Predators 2.7. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -444.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -444

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4442 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Predators to win
37% chanceFair price +1711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nashville Predators 37% and Tampa Bay Lightning 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nashville Predators won 2 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 of their last 5. Tampa Bay Lightning come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nashville Predators won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Tampa Bay Lightning won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nashville Predators score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.1. Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.8 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 6.1 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Nashville Predators won 1 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4. The last one ended Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

The big picture

Nashville Predators host Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at Bridgestone Arena. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4 and Nashville Predators 2.7. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -444.

Nashville Predators form

Nashville Predators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Nashville Predators won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 4. Last time out it finished Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Lightning to score about 3.4 goals and Nashville Predators about 2.7. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -444. Our bold bet is Predators to win at +171.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PredatorsLightning
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Goals scored5956
Goals conceded6350
Scored per game3.02.8
Conceded per game3.12.5
Home record4W 6L7W 4L
Away record4W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Predators spreadCoversFair
Predators -0.531%+222
Predators +0.547%+113
Predators +1.563%-172
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Predators +3.5 wins if Predators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 63% chance. We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4 and Nashville Predators 2.7. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -444.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

We project Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4 and Nashville Predators 2.7, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Nashville Predators playing?

Nashville Predators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Nashville Predators and Tampa Bay Lightning last met?

It ended Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2. In the last 5 meetings Nashville Predators won 1 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 4.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators?

Under 8 goals at -444, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Predators against Lightning. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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