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Predictions › United States › Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries
WNBAWed 7 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries prediction

Chase Center

Las Vegas AcesAway
81.1 : 83.0
projected points
Golden State ValkyriesHome
46%Aces
54%Valkyries
Eagle safe pickValkyries +5.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 81.1 and Golden State Valkyries 83.0. Our best bet is Valkyries +5.5 at -312.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Las Vegas Aces 81, Golden State Valkyries 83
Projected total
164.1 points
Best bet
Valkyries +5.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Valkyries +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Aces to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Valkyries 54% and Las Vegas Aces 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Valkyries won 3 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Aces won 4 of their last 5. Las Vegas Aces come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Valkyries won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Las Vegas Aces won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Valkyries score 84.3 points a game and let in 75.2. Las Vegas Aces score 92.3 and let in 85.8. Their recent games average 159.4 and 178.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Golden State Valkyries won 0 and Las Vegas Aces won 3. The last one ended Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Valkyries +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valkyriesrest between games-5%
  • Acesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries: Golden State Valkyries shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Valkyries host Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Wed 7 Oct, 21:30 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 81.1 and Golden State Valkyries 83.0. Our best bet is Valkyries +5.5 at -312.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1685 points scored and 1504 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Las Vegas Aces form

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1846 points scored and 1715 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Golden State Valkyries won 0, Las Vegas Aces won 3. Last time out it finished Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Aces to score about 81.1 points and Golden State Valkyries about 83.0. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Valkyries +5.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Aces to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValkyriesAces
Games played2020
Wins1514
Losses56
Points scored16851846
Points conceded15041715
Scored per game84.392.3
Conceded per game75.285.8
Home record8W 1L9W 2L
Away record7W 4L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Valkyries spreadCoversFair
Valkyries -7.531%+228
Valkyries -4.541%+146
Valkyries -1.551%-106
Valkyries +1.562%-164
Valkyries +4.572%-257
Total pointsOverUnder
158.565%35%
161.557%43%
164.549%51%
167.541%59%
170.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Valkyries +3.5 wins if Valkyries win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

Valkyries Coach Natalie Nakase Fine After Collapsing in Playoff Win

Golden State Valkyries coach Natalie Nakase is fine and expected to coach Game 1 against the Aces after collapsing late in Friday's playoff victory.

1 hour ago
WNBA

WNBA Playoffs: Mystics and Wings Face Elimination on Home Court

Washington and Dallas look to rebound at home after tough Game 1 losses in the WNBA playoffs.

30 Sept 2026
WNBA

Aces Star A'ja Wilson Restrained After Fan Confrontation

Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson was restrained by teammates and given a technical foul after confronting a fan during Tuesday's playoff loss to the Fever.

30 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 81.1 and Golden State Valkyries 83.0. Our best bet is Valkyries +5.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries?

We project Las Vegas Aces 81.1 and Golden State Valkyries 83.0, about 164.1 points in total.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1685 points scored and 1504 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Aces playing?

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1846 points scored and 1715 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces last met?

It ended Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73. In the last 3 meetings Golden State Valkyries won 0 and Las Vegas Aces won 3.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries?

Valkyries +5.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valkyries against Aces. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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