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Predictions › United States › Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces
WNBAFri 9 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces prediction

Michelob ULTRA Arena

Golden State ValkyriesAway
81.6 : 81.5
projected points
Las Vegas AcesHome
53%Valkyries
47%Aces
Eagle safe pickAces +7.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 81.6 and Las Vegas Aces 81.5. Our best bet is Aces +7.5 at -313.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Golden State Valkyries 82, Las Vegas Aces 81
Projected total
163.1 points
Best bet
Aces +7.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aces +7.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Aces 47% and Golden State Valkyries 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Aces won 4 of their last 5 and Golden State Valkyries won 3 of their last 5. Las Vegas Aces come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Aces won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Golden State Valkyries won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Aces score 92.3 points a game and let in 85.8. Golden State Valkyries score 84.3 and let in 75.2. Their recent games average 178.1 and 159.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Las Vegas Aces won 3 and Golden State Valkyries won 0. The last one ended Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Aces +7.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Acesrest between games-5%
  • Valkyriesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces: Golden State Valkyries shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Vegas Aces host Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Fri 9 Oct, 21:30 at Michelob ULTRA Arena. Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 81.6 and Las Vegas Aces 81.5. Our best bet is Aces +7.5 at -313.

Las Vegas Aces form

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1846 points scored and 1715 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1685 points scored and 1504 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Las Vegas Aces won 3, Golden State Valkyries won 0. Last time out it finished Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73.

Our call

We expect Golden State Valkyries to score about 81.6 points and Las Vegas Aces about 81.5. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Aces +7.5 at -313.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AcesValkyries
Games played2020
Wins1415
Losses65
Points scored18461685
Points conceded17151504
Scored per game92.384.3
Conceded per game85.875.2
Home record9W 2L8W 1L
Away record5W 4L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Aces spreadCoversFair
Aces -5.531%+227
Aces -2.541%+145
Aces +0.552%-106
Aces +3.562%-165
Aces +6.572%-258
Total pointsOverUnder
157.564%36%
160.557%43%
163.549%51%
166.541%59%
169.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Aces +3.5 wins if Aces win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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30 Sept 2026
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Aces Star A'ja Wilson Restrained After Fan Confrontation

Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson was restrained by teammates and given a technical foul after confronting a fan during Tuesday's playoff loss to the Fever.

30 Sept 2026
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Indiana Fever coach Stephanie White faces intense pressure and off court drama as her team prepares for the WNBA playoffs.

25 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces?

Our prediction for Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Valkyries 81.6 and Las Vegas Aces 81.5. Our best bet is Aces +7.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces?

We project Golden State Valkyries 81.6 and Las Vegas Aces 81.5, about 163.1 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Aces playing?

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1846 points scored and 1715 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1685 points scored and 1504 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries last met?

It ended Las Vegas Aces 92, Golden State Valkyries 73. In the last 3 meetings Las Vegas Aces won 3 and Golden State Valkyries won 0.

What is the best bet for Golden State Valkyries vs Las Vegas Aces?

Aces +7.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aces against Valkyries. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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