Predictions › Spain › Tenerife vs Ceuta
LaLiga 2Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Tenerife vs Ceuta prediction

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López

TenerifeHome
1.85 : 0.90
expected goals
CeutaAway
59%Tenerife
24%Draw
17%Ceuta
Eagle safe pickTenerife or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Ceuta is Tenerife to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Tenerife to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tenerife 1.9, Ceuta 0.9
Best bet
Tenerife or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tenerife or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tenerife to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tenerife 59%, the draw 24% and Ceuta 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tenerife took 4 points from their last 5 games and Ceuta took 1 from 5. Tenerife come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tenerife won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Ceuta won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tenerife score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Ceuta score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Tenerife games and 10 of Ceuta games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Tenerife or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Teneriferecent form-1%
  • Ceutarecent form-4%
Tenerife form D D D L DCeuta form L W L L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tenerife vs Ceuta: Tenerife are favourites

The big picture

Tenerife host Ceuta in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Our prediction for Tenerife vs Ceuta is Tenerife to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.21.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Ceuta form

Ceuta have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tenerife to score about 1.9 goals and Ceuta about 0.9. That points to Tenerife to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Tenerife to win and Over 2.5 at 2.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TenerifeCeuta
Games played1220
Wins34
Draws66
Losses310
Goals scored1519
Goals conceded1735
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record2W 3D 1L2W 4D 6L
Away record1W 3D 2L2W 2D 4L
Clean sheets17%20%
Both teams scored67%60%
Over 2.5 goals33%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.38
Both teams to score51%1.98
Tenerife or Draw83%1.21
Ceuta or Draw41%2.44
Tenerife to win and Over 2.537%2.71
Ceuta to win and Over 2.510%10.51
Tenerife clean sheet41%2.45
Ceuta clean sheet16%6.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-011.2%
2-011.0%
2-19.8%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tenerife vs Ceuta?

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Ceuta is Tenerife to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tenerife or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Tenerife vs Ceuta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Tenerife to score 1.9 goals and Ceuta 0.9.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Ceuta?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Tenerife last 12 games and 12 of Ceuta last 20.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Ceuta playing?

Ceuta have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tenerife vs Ceuta?

Tenerife or Draw at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tenerife against Ceuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.