Predictions › Spain › Tenerife vs Mallorca
LaLiga 2Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Tenerife vs Mallorca prediction

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López

TenerifeHome
0.89 : 0.73
expected goals
MallorcaAway
36%Tenerife
36%Draw
27%Mallorca
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Mallorca is a draw, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
36%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Tenerife 0.9, Mallorca 0.7
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
31%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
21% chanceFair price 4.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tenerife 36%, the draw 36% and Mallorca 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tenerife took 4 points from their last 5 games and Mallorca took 9 from 5. Mallorca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tenerife won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Mallorca won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tenerife score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Mallorca score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Tenerife games and 7 of Mallorca games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Teneriferecent form-1%
  • Mallorcarecent form+3%
Tenerife form D D D L DMallorca form W D D W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tenerife vs Mallorca: a draw looks likely

The big picture

Tenerife host Mallorca in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Our prediction for Tenerife vs Mallorca is a draw, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tenerife to score about 0.9 goals and Mallorca about 0.7. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TenerifeMallorca
Games played1220
Wins39
Draws66
Losses35
Goals scored1526
Goals conceded1716
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record2W 3D 1L7W 2D 1L
Away record1W 3D 2L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets17%45%
Both teams scored67%40%
Over 2.5 goals33%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals49%2.04
Over 2.5 goals22%4.51
Over 3.5 goals8%12.26
Both teams to score31%3.19
Tenerife or Draw73%1.38
Mallorca or Draw64%1.57
Tenerife to win and Over 2.512%8.60
Mallorca to win and Over 2.58%12.04
Tenerife clean sheet48%2.08
Mallorca clean sheet41%2.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-020.6%
1-016.8%
0-113.7%
1-113.6%
2-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tenerife vs Mallorca?

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Mallorca is a draw, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Tenerife vs Mallorca?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Tenerife to score 0.9 goals and Mallorca 0.7.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Mallorca?

Both teams to score has a 31% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Tenerife last 12 games and 8 of Mallorca last 20.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tenerife vs Mallorca?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tenerife against Mallorca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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