Predictions › United States › Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction

Williams-Brice Stadium

Tennessee VolunteersAway
27.2 : 25.3
projected points
South Carolina GamecocksHome
55%Tennessee
45%South Carolina
Eagle safe pickOver 41.5 points
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tennessee Volunteers 27.2 and South Carolina Gamecocks 25.3. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -305.

Prediction
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Tennessee Volunteers 27, South Carolina Gamecocks 25
Projected total
52.5 points
Best bet
Over 41.5 points at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 41.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives South Carolina Gamecocks 45% and Tennessee Volunteers 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Tennessee Volunteers the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    South Carolina Gamecocks won 2 of their last 5 and Tennessee Volunteers won 4 of their last 5. Tennessee Volunteers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    South Carolina Gamecocks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Tennessee Volunteers won 5 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    South Carolina Gamecocks score 27.3 points a game and let in 24.8. Tennessee Volunteers score 35.8 and let in 25.0. Their recent games average 52.1 and 60.8 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 41.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks: Tennessee Volunteers shade it

The big picture

South Carolina Gamecocks host Tennessee Volunteers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Williams-Brice Stadium. Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tennessee Volunteers 27.2 and South Carolina Gamecocks 25.3. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -305.

South Carolina Gamecocks form

South Carolina Gamecocks have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 436 points scored and 397 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 608 points scored and 425 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tennessee Volunteers to score about 27.2 points and South Carolina Gamecocks about 25.3. That points to Tennessee Volunteers to win. Our safest bet is Over 41.5 points at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

South CarolinaTennessee
Games played1617
Wins511
Losses116
Points scored436608
Points conceded397425
Scored per game27.335.8
Conceded per game24.825.0
Home record4W 6L6W 4L
Away record1W 5L5W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
South Carolina to win45%+124+110-6.1%
Tennessee to win51%-105-130-9.5%
South Carolina +2.549%+103-110-6.2%
Tennessee -2.547%+114-110-10.8%
Over 51.5 points50%+101-110-5.0%
Under 51.5 points46%+117-110-12.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

South Carolina spreadCoversFair
South Carolina -5.532%+209
South Carolina -1.542%+140
South Carolina +1.549%+103
South Carolina +4.557%-130
South Carolina +8.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
45.567%33%
49.557%43%
52.550%50%
55.543%57%
59.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Carolina +3.5 wins if South Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

Our prediction for Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tennessee Volunteers 27.2 and South Carolina Gamecocks 25.3. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -305.

What is the projected score for Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

We project Tennessee Volunteers 27.2 and South Carolina Gamecocks 25.3, about 52.5 points in total.

How are South Carolina Gamecocks playing?

South Carolina Gamecocks have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 436 points scored and 397 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

Tennessee Volunteers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 608 points scored and 425 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks?

Over 41.5 points at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in South Carolina against Tennessee. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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