Predictions › United States › Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers prediction

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Texas LonghornsAway
16.1 : 32.6
projected points
LSU TigersHome
15%Texas
85%LSU
Eagle safe pickLSU to win
-568

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 85% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 16.1 and LSU Tigers 32.6. Our best bet is LSU to win at -568.

Prediction
LSU Tigers to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Texas Longhorns 16, LSU Tigers 33
Projected total
48.8 points
Best bet
LSU to win at -568

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LSU to win
85% chanceFair price -5682 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LSU Tigers 85% and Texas Longhorns 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LSU Tigers won 4 of their last 5 and Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 5. LSU Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LSU Tigers won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    LSU Tigers score 30.4 points a game and let in 19.4. Texas Longhorns score 31.4 and let in 20.0. Their recent games average 49.8 and 51.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    LSU to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers: LSU Tigers are favourites

The big picture

LSU Tigers host Texas Longhorns in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Tiger Stadium (LA). Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 85% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 16.1 and LSU Tigers 32.6. Our best bet is LSU to win at -568.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 578 points scored and 369 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 597 points scored and 380 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Longhorns to score about 16.1 points and LSU Tigers about 32.6. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is LSU to win at -568.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

LSUTexas
Games played1919
Wins1115
Losses84
Points scored578597
Points conceded369380
Scored per game30.431.4
Conceded per game19.420.0
Home record10W 1L12W 1L
Away record1W 7L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

LSU spreadCoversFair
LSU -23.533%+202
LSU -19.543%+135
LSU -16.550%-100
LSU -13.557%-135
LSU -9.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.558%42%
48.551%49%
51.543%57%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. LSU +3.5 wins if LSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers?

Our prediction for Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 85% chance. We project Texas Longhorns 16.1 and LSU Tigers 32.6. Our best bet is LSU to win at -568.

What is the projected score for Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers?

We project Texas Longhorns 16.1 and LSU Tigers 32.6, about 48.8 points in total.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 578 points scored and 369 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 597 points scored and 380 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers?

LSU to win at -568, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LSU against Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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