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Predictions › United States › Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears prediction

McLane Stadium

Texas Tech Red RaidersAway
24.9 : 25.3
projected points
Baylor BearsHome
53%Texas Tech
47%Baylor
Eagle safe pickUnder 60.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 24.9 and Baylor Bears 25.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Texas Tech Red Raiders 25, Baylor Bears 25
Projected total
50.3 points
Best bet
Under 60.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 60.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baylor Bears 47% and Texas Tech Red Raiders 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baylor Bears won 3 of their last 5 and Texas Tech Red Raiders won 4 of their last 5. Texas Tech Red Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baylor Bears won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baylor Bears score 30.9 points a game and let in 24.3. Texas Tech Red Raiders score 35.8 and let in 17.4. Their recent games average 55.2 and 53.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 60.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears: Texas Tech Red Raiders shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Baylor Bears host Texas Tech Red Raiders in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 at McLane Stadium. Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 24.9 and Baylor Bears 25.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -299.

Baylor Bears form

Baylor Bears have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 588 points scored and 461 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Texas Tech Red Raiders form

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 716 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas Tech Red Raiders to score about 24.9 points and Baylor Bears about 25.3. That points to Texas Tech Red Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Under 60.5 points at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BaylorTexas Tech
Games played1920
Wins1017
Losses93
Points scored588716
Points conceded461347
Scored per game30.935.8
Conceded per game24.317.4
Home record7W 4L11W 1L
Away record3W 5L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Baylor spreadCoversFair
Baylor -7.533%+205
Baylor -3.542%+137
Baylor -0.550%+101
Baylor +2.557%-133
Baylor +6.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.557%43%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Baylor +3.5 wins if Baylor win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Baylor Dominates UCF 41-9 in Coach Joe Klanderman Debut

DJ Lagway threw four touchdowns as Baylor rolled to a 41-9 victory over UCF in Joe Klanderman's coaching debut.

31 Oct 2026
College Football

Robert Griffin III Expresses Interest in Open Baylor Coaching Job

Former Heisman winner Robert Griffin III wants to coach Baylor after the school fired Dave Aranda.

27 Oct 2026
College Football

Baylor Fires Head Coach Dave Aranda After Loss to Kansas

Baylor parted ways with football coach Dave Aranda after a loss to Kansas. Interim coach Joe Klanderman takes over.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears?

Our prediction for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 24.9 and Baylor Bears 25.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears?

We project Texas Tech Red Raiders 24.9 and Baylor Bears 25.3, about 50.3 points in total.

How are Baylor Bears playing?

Baylor Bears have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 588 points scored and 461 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Texas Tech Red Raiders playing?

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 716 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears?

Under 60.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Baylor against Texas Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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