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Predictions › United States › Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers
NHLSat 24 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers prediction

Rogers Place

Toronto Maple LeafsAway
3.3 : 4.1
projected goals
Edmonton OilersHome
37%Maple Leafs
63%Oilers
Eagle safe pickOilers +1
-364

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 and Edmonton Oilers 4.1. Our best bet is Oilers +1 at -364.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Edmonton Oilers 4
Projected total
7.4 goals
Best bet
Oilers +1 at -364

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oilers +1
78% chanceFair price -3642 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
35% chanceFair price +1891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Edmonton Oilers 63% and Toronto Maple Leafs 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Edmonton Oilers won 5 of their last 5 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5. Edmonton Oilers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Edmonton Oilers won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Edmonton Oilers score 3.8 goals a game and let in 2.7. Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.1 and let in 3.9. Their recent games average 6.5 and 7.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Edmonton Oilers won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. The last one ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Oilers +1 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Edmonton Oilers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Edmonton Oilers host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 at Rogers Place. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 and Edmonton Oilers 4.1. Our best bet is Oilers +1 at -364.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Edmonton Oilers won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1. Last time out it finished Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5.

Our call

We expect Toronto Maple Leafs to score about 3.3 goals and Edmonton Oilers about 4.1. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Oilers +1 at -364. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +189.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OilersMaple Leafs
Games played2020
Wins136
Losses714
Goals scored7562
Goals conceded5478
Scored per game3.83.1
Conceded per game2.73.9
Home record6W 3L3W 6L
Away record7W 4L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Oilers spreadCoversFair
Oilers -1.538%+164
Oilers -0.554%-119
Oilers +0.570%-233
Total goalsOverUnder
6.565%35%
7.548%52%
8.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oilers +3.5 wins if Oilers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Macklin Celebrini Scores in Return as Sharks Fall to Oilers

San Jose captain Macklin Celebrini scored his first goal of the season in his return, but the Sharks lost 3-1 to the Edmonton Oilers.

11 Oct 2026
NHL

Hyman Invites Messier to See Babcock's Oilers First Hand

Zach Hyman has responded to Mark Messier's criticism of the Edmonton Oilers hiring Mike Babcock, inviting the team legend to see their positive environment.

25 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers?

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 and Edmonton Oilers 4.1. Our best bet is Oilers +1 at -364.

What is the projected score for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers?

We project Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 and Edmonton Oilers 4.1, about 7.4 goals in total.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 78 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Edmonton Oilers and Toronto Maple Leafs last met?

It ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5. In the last 2 meetings Edmonton Oilers won 1 and Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

What is the best bet for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers?

Oilers +1 at -364, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oilers against Maple Leafs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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