Predictions › United States › Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks
NBAFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Toronto RaptorsAway
117.3 : 112.3
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
67%Raptors
33%Bucks
Eagle safe pickBucks +13.5
-314

Quick answer

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Raptors 117.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.3. Our best bet is Bucks +13.5 at -314.

Prediction
Toronto Raptors to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Toronto Raptors 117, Milwaukee Bucks 112
Projected total
229.5 points
Best bet
Bucks +13.5 at -314

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bucks +13.5
76% chanceFair price -3142 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bucks to win
33% chanceFair price +2031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 33% and Toronto Raptors 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Toronto Raptors won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Toronto Raptors won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 111.0 points a game and let in 120.3. Toronto Raptors score 115.3 and let in 110.8. Their recent games average 231.3 and 226.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Toronto Raptors won 3. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 94, Toronto Raptors 122.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bucks +13.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
  • Raptorsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks: Toronto Raptors are favourites

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Toronto Raptors in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Raptors 117.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.3. Our best bet is Bucks +13.5 at -314.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2221 points scored and 2405 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Toronto Raptors form

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2305 points scored and 2215 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 1, Toronto Raptors won 3. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 94, Toronto Raptors 122.

Our call

We expect Toronto Raptors to score about 117.3 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 112.3. That points to Toronto Raptors to win. Our safest bet is Bucks +13.5 at -314. Our bold bet is Bucks to win at +203.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksRaptors
Games played2020
Wins610
Losses1410
Points scored22212305
Points conceded24052215
Scored per game111.0115.3
Conceded per game120.3110.8
Home record4W 6L9W 1L
Away record2W 8L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks -0.533%+204
Bucks +2.542%+138
Bucks +5.551%-106
Bucks +8.561%-156
Bucks +11.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
223.563%37%
226.557%43%
229.550%50%
232.543%57%
235.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 67% chance. We project Toronto Raptors 117.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.3. Our best bet is Bucks +13.5 at -314.

What is the projected score for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Toronto Raptors 117.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.3, about 229.5 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2221 points scored and 2405 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Toronto Raptors playing?

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2305 points scored and 2215 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 94, Toronto Raptors 122. In the last 4 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Toronto Raptors won 3.

What is the best bet for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Bucks +13.5 at -314, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Raptors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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