Predictions › United Kingdom › Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town

Premier LeagueSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town prediction

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham HotspurHome

2.04 : 1.14

expected goals

Ipswich TownAway

58%Spurs

22%Draw

20%Ipswich

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur 2.0, Ipswich Town 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5

40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 58%, the draw 22% and Ipswich Town 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Tottenham Hotspur the favourite at 8/15.
2
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur took 10 points from their last 5 games and Ipswich Town took 5 from 5. Tottenham Hotspur come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Tottenham Hotspur won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Ipswich Town won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Tottenham Hotspur score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Ipswich Town score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Tottenham Hotspur games and 14 of Ipswich Town games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Spursrecent form+3%

Spurs form L W W W DIpswich form D D D L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: Tottenham Hotspur are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tottenham Hotspur host Ipswich Town in the Premier League on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score about 2.0 goals and Ipswich Town about 1.1. That points to Tottenham Hotspur to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Spurs	Ipswich
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	8	7
Goals scored	24	33
Goals conceded	25	33
Scored per game	1.2	1.6
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	4W 3D 3L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	45%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Tottenham Hotspur to win	52%	10/11	8/15	-20.4%
A Draw	22%	7/2	10/3	-7.0%
Ipswich Town to win	19%	4/1	9/2	+6.2%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	5/6	4/7	-15.2%
Under 2.5 goals	39%	8/5	5/4	-10.9%
Tottenham Hotspur -1.5	38%	13/8	5/4	-15.2%
Ipswich Town +1.5	56%	4/5	1/2	-14.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1/5
Over 2.5 goals	61%	8/13
Over 3.5 goals	39%	8/5
Both teams to score	60%	4/6
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw	80%	1/4
Ipswich Town or Draw	42%	11/8
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5	41%	7/5
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.5	13%	13/2
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet	32%	85/40
Ipswich Town clean sheet	13%	13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%

2-19.9%

2-08.7%

1-08.0%

3-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

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Questions people ask

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town is Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Tottenham Hotspur to score 2.0 goals and Ipswich Town 1.1.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20 games and 14 of Ipswich Town last 20.

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

How are Ipswich Town playing?

What is the best bet for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Ipswich. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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