Predictions › Norway › Tromso vs Viking FK
EliteserienSat 21 Nov, 13:00 Norway time

Tromso vs Viking FK prediction

Romssa Arena

TromsoHome
1.11 : 1.26
expected goals
Viking FKAway
32%Tromso
29%Draw
39%Viking FK
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tromso vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Viking FK to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tromso 1.1, Viking FK 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tromso 32%, the draw 29% and Viking FK 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tromso took 2 points from their last 5 games and Viking FK took 9 from 5. Viking FK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tromso won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Viking FK won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tromso score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Viking FK score 2.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Tromso games and 16 of Viking FK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tromso won 0 and Viking FK won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Viking FK 3, Tromso 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tromsorecent form-4%
Tromso form L L L D DViking FK form D W L W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tromso vs Viking FK: Viking FK shade it

The big picture

Tromso host Viking FK in the Eliteserien on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Romssa Arena. Our prediction for Tromso vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Tromso form

Tromso have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Viking FK form

Viking FK have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tromso won 0, Viking FK won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Viking FK 3, Tromso 1.

Our call

We expect Tromso to score about 1.1 goals and Viking FK about 1.3. That points to Viking FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TromsoViking FK
Games played2020
Wins612
Draws63
Losses85
Goals scored3249
Goals conceded3927
Scored per game1.62.5
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record4W 3D 2L9W 1D 0L
Away record2W 3D 6L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored55%80%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals21%4.66
Both teams to score49%2.05
Tromso or Draw61%1.64
Viking FK or Draw68%1.46
Tromso to win and Over 2.516%6.16
Viking FK to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Tromso clean sheet28%3.53
Viking FK clean sheet33%3.02

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-111.0%
0-010.2%
1-09.6%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tromso vs Viking FK?

Our prediction for Tromso vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Tromso vs Viking FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Tromso to score 1.1 goals and Viking FK 1.3.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs Viking FK?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Tromso last 20 games and 16 of Viking FK last 20.

How are Tromso playing?

Tromso have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Viking FK playing?

Viking FK have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Tromso and Viking FK last met?

It ended Viking FK 3, Tromso 1. In the last 2 meetings Tromso won 0 and Viking FK won 2.

What is the best bet for Tromso vs Viking FK?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tromso against Viking FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.