Predictions › United States › UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 12:00 United States time

UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction

Boone Pickens Stadium

UCF KnightsAway
17.7 : 29.6
projected points
Oklahoma State CowboysHome
24%UCF
76%Oklahoma St
Eagle safe pickOklahoma St to win
-323

Quick answer

Our prediction for UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys is Oklahoma State Cowboys to win, with a 76% chance. We project UCF Knights 17.7 and Oklahoma State Cowboys 29.6. Our best bet is Oklahoma St to win at -323.

Prediction
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
UCF Knights 18, Oklahoma State Cowboys 30
Projected total
47.4 points
Best bet
Oklahoma St to win at -323

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oklahoma St to win
76% chanceFair price -3232 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma State Cowboys 76% and UCF Knights 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma State Cowboys won 3 of their last 5 and UCF Knights won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma State Cowboys won 2 of their last 8 games at home. UCF Knights won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma State Cowboys score 20.6 points a game and let in 28.8. UCF Knights score 25.1 and let in 23.4. Their recent games average 49.4 and 48.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Oklahoma State Cowboys won 0 and UCF Knights won 1. The last one ended UCF Knights 17, Oklahoma State Cowboys 14.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Oklahoma St to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys: Oklahoma State Cowboys are favourites

The big picture

Oklahoma State Cowboys host UCF Knights in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 at Boone Pickens Stadium. Our prediction for UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys is Oklahoma State Cowboys to win, with a 76% chance. We project UCF Knights 17.7 and Oklahoma State Cowboys 29.6. Our best bet is Oklahoma St to win at -323.

Oklahoma State Cowboys form

Oklahoma State Cowboys have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 403 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

UCF Knights form

UCF Knights have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 352 points scored and 327 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Oklahoma State Cowboys won 0, UCF Knights won 1. Last time out it finished UCF Knights 17, Oklahoma State Cowboys 14.

Our call

We expect UCF Knights to score about 17.7 points and Oklahoma State Cowboys about 29.6. That points to Oklahoma State Cowboys to win. Our safest bet is Oklahoma St to win at -323.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Oklahoma StUCF
Games played1414
Wins36
Losses118
Points scored289352
Points conceded403327
Scored per game20.625.1
Conceded per game28.823.4
Home record2W 6L6W 2L
Away record1W 5L0W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Oklahoma St spreadCoversFair
Oklahoma St -18.534%+194
Oklahoma St -14.544%+129
Oklahoma St -11.551%-104
Oklahoma St -8.558%-141
Oklahoma St -4.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
40.567%33%
44.557%43%
47.550%50%
50.542%58%
54.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oklahoma St +3.5 wins if Oklahoma St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?

Our prediction for UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys is Oklahoma State Cowboys to win, with a 76% chance. We project UCF Knights 17.7 and Oklahoma State Cowboys 29.6. Our best bet is Oklahoma St to win at -323.

What is the projected score for UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?

We project UCF Knights 17.7 and Oklahoma State Cowboys 29.6, about 47.4 points in total.

How are Oklahoma State Cowboys playing?

Oklahoma State Cowboys have 3 wins and 11 losses in their last 14 games, with 289 points scored and 403 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are UCF Knights playing?

UCF Knights have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 352 points scored and 327 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights last met?

It ended UCF Knights 17, Oklahoma State Cowboys 14. In the last 1 meeting Oklahoma State Cowboys won 0 and UCF Knights won 1.

What is the best bet for UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?

Oklahoma St to win at -323, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oklahoma St against UCF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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