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Predictions › Italy › Udinese vs AC Milan
Serie ASun 25 Oct, 19:45 Italy time

Udinese vs AC Milan prediction

Stadio Friuli

UdineseHome
0.93 : 1.51
expected goals
AC MilanAway
23%Udinese
28%Draw
50%Milan
Eagle safe pickAC Milan or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan is AC Milan to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AC Milan or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
AC Milan to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Udinese 0.9, AC Milan 1.5
Best bet
AC Milan or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AC Milan or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AC Milan to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Udinese 23%, the draw 28% and AC Milan 50%. The bookmakers agree and make AC Milan the favourite at 1.77.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Udinese took 3 points from their last 5 games and AC Milan took 8 from 5. AC Milan come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Udinese won 2 of their last 10 games at home. AC Milan won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Udinese score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. AC Milan score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Udinese games and 9 of AC Milan games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Udinese won 1 and AC Milan won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AC Milan 0, Udinese 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AC Milan or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Udineserecent form-3%
  • Milanrecent form+1%
  • Milanrest between games-5%
Udinese form D L L L WMilan form W D W L DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Udinese vs AC Milan: AC Milan are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Udinese host AC Milan in the Serie A on Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 at Stadio Friuli. Our prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan is AC Milan to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AC Milan or Draw at 1.31.

Udinese form

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

AC Milan form

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Udinese won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AC Milan 0, Udinese 3.

Our call

We expect Udinese to score about 0.9 goals and AC Milan about 1.5. That points to AC Milan to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AC Milan or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is AC Milan to win and Over 2.5 at 3.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UdineseMilan
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws44
Losses107
Goals scored2727
Goals conceded2522
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record2W 2D 6L4W 1D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Udinese to win22%4.654.00-14.0%
A Draw26%3.843.45-10.3%
AC Milan to win49%2.061.77-14.1%
Over 2.5 goals47%2.121.87-11.8%
Under 2.5 goals50%1.991.83-8.1%
Udinese +0.547%2.111.91-9.5%
AC Milan -0.550%2.001.71-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%4.36
Both teams to score48%2.09
Udinese or Draw50%1.99
AC Milan or Draw77%1.29
Udinese to win and Over 2.511%8.75
AC Milan to win and Over 2.528%3.63
Udinese clean sheet22%4.51
AC Milan clean sheet39%2.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-112.4%
0-29.9%
0-09.5%
1-29.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Serie A

Amorim believes Man United spell helped prepare him for AC Milan task

Ruben Amorim says his career highs and lows have made him ready to manage AC Milan as they return to Serie A action.

10 Oct 2026
Premier League

Former Man United Boss Apologizes to Fan Who Refuses to Cut His Hair

Former Manchester United manager Ruben Amorim apologized to viral fan Frank Ilett, who refuses to cut his hair until the team wins five games in a row.

25 Sept 2026
Serie A

Udinese Secure Signing of Champion Defender David Alaba

Former Real Madrid and Bayern Munich defender David Alaba has officially signed with Serie A side Udinese as a free agent.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?

Our prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan is AC Milan to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AC Milan or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Udinese to score 0.9 goals and AC Milan 1.5.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs AC Milan?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Udinese last 20 games and 8 of AC Milan last 20.

How are Udinese playing?

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are AC Milan playing?

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Udinese and AC Milan last met?

It ended AC Milan 0, Udinese 3. In the last 2 meetings Udinese won 1 and AC Milan won 1.

What is the best bet for Udinese vs AC Milan?

AC Milan or Draw at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Udinese against Milan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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