Predictions › Italy › Udinese vs AS Roma
Serie ASat 31 Oct, 17:00 Italy time

Udinese vs AS Roma prediction

Stadio Friuli

UdineseHome
0.67 : 1.50
expected goals
AS RomaAway
16%Udinese
27%Draw
57%AS Roma
Eagle safe pickAS Roma or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Udinese vs AS Roma is AS Roma to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
AS Roma to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Udinese 0.7, AS Roma 1.5
Best bet
AS Roma or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AS Roma or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Roma to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Udinese 16%, the draw 27% and AS Roma 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Udinese took 0 points from their last 5 games and AS Roma took 8 from 5. AS Roma come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Udinese won 2 of their last 10 games at home. AS Roma won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Udinese score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. AS Roma score 2.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Udinese games and 11 of AS Roma games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Udinese won 1 and AS Roma won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Udinese 1, AS Roma 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AS Roma or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Udineserecent form-6%
  • AS Romarest between games-5%
Udinese form D L L L LAS Roma form D W L D DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Udinese vs AS Roma: AS Roma are favourites

The big picture

Udinese host AS Roma in the Serie A on Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 at Stadio Friuli. Our prediction for Udinese vs AS Roma is AS Roma to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.20.

Udinese form

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

AS Roma form

AS Roma have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Udinese won 1, AS Roma won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Udinese 1, AS Roma 0.

Our call

We expect Udinese to score about 0.7 goals and AS Roma about 1.5. That points to AS Roma to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win and Over 2.5 at 3.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UdineseAS Roma
Games played2020
Wins613
Draws44
Losses103
Goals scored2647
Goals conceded2620
Scored per game1.32.4
Conceded per game1.31.0
Home record2W 2D 6L8W 2D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 2D 1L
Clean sheets30%60%
Both teams scored35%40%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.70
Over 3.5 goals18%5.71
Both teams to score39%2.59
Udinese or Draw43%2.32
AS Roma or Draw84%1.19
Udinese to win and Over 2.56%15.82
AS Roma to win and Over 2.527%3.64
Udinese clean sheet22%4.50
AS Roma clean sheet51%1.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-116.5%
0-212.9%
1-112.1%
0-012.1%
1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Udinese vs AS Roma?

Our prediction for Udinese vs AS Roma is AS Roma to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is AS Roma or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Udinese vs AS Roma?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Udinese to score 0.7 goals and AS Roma 1.5.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs AS Roma?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Udinese last 20 games and 8 of AS Roma last 20.

How are Udinese playing?

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are AS Roma playing?

AS Roma have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Udinese and AS Roma last met?

It ended Udinese 1, AS Roma 0. In the last 2 meetings Udinese won 1 and AS Roma won 1.

What is the best bet for Udinese vs AS Roma?

AS Roma or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Udinese against AS Roma. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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