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Predictions › United States › USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

USC TrojansAway
21.4 : 29.0
projected points
Indiana HoosiersHome
28%USC
72%Indiana
Eagle safe pickIndiana to win
-285

Quick answer

Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 72% chance. We project USC Trojans 21.4 and Indiana Hoosiers 29.0. Our best bet is Indiana to win at -285.

Prediction
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
USC Trojans 21, Indiana Hoosiers 29
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
Indiana to win at -285

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Indiana to win
72% chancePrice -2851 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

USC to win
30% chancePrice +2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Hoosiers 72% and USC Trojans 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Indiana Hoosiers the favourite at -285.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Hoosiers won 4 of their last 5 and USC Trojans won 3 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Hoosiers won 11 of their last 12 games at home. USC Trojans won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Hoosiers score 36.0 points a game and let in 12.6. USC Trojans score 31.3 and let in 24.2. Their recent games average 48.5 and 55.5 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Indiana to win has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Indianateam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers: Indiana Hoosiers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Hoosiers host USC Trojans in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 72% chance. We project USC Trojans 21.4 and Indiana Hoosiers 29.0. Our best bet is Indiana to win at -285.

Indiana Hoosiers form

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 719 points scored and 251 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

USC Trojans form

USC Trojans have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 625 points scored and 484 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect USC Trojans to score about 21.4 points and Indiana Hoosiers about 29.0. That points to Indiana Hoosiers to win. Our safest bet is Indiana to win at -285. Our bold bet is USC to win at +230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IndianaUSC
Games played2020
Wins1914
Losses16
Points scored719625
Points conceded251484
Scored per game36.031.3
Conceded per game12.624.2
Home record11W 1L10W 1L
Away record8W 0L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Indiana to win72%-254-285-3.0%
USC to win30%+237+230-2.1%
Indiana -748%+110-115-11.0%
USC +745%+120-105-11.3%
Over 50.5 points46%+116-110-11.4%
Under 50.5 points47%+115-110-11.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Indiana spreadCoversFair
Indiana -14.533%+201
Indiana -10.543%+134
Indiana -7.550%-101
Indiana -4.558%-136
Indiana -0.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.557%43%
50.550%50%
53.542%58%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Indiana +3.5 wins if Indiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

USC Pulls Off Major Upset Against Second Ranked Ohio State

USC defeated No. 2 Ohio State 30-18 on Halloween night, handing coach Lincoln Riley his biggest victory with the Trojans.

1 Nov 2026
College Football

Indiana Edges Minnesota 23-16 in Overtime Win

Backup quarterback Grant Wilson led No. 4 Indiana to a 23-16 overtime win against Minnesota on Saturday.

1 Nov 2026
College Football

Lincoln Riley Reaffirms Commitment to USC Amid Tough Season

USC head coach Lincoln Riley says he is in the right place despite recent losses and mounting pressure.

28 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 72% chance. We project USC Trojans 21.4 and Indiana Hoosiers 29.0. Our best bet is Indiana to win at -285.

What is the projected score for USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers?

We project USC Trojans 21.4 and Indiana Hoosiers 29.0, about 50.5 points in total.

How are Indiana Hoosiers playing?

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 719 points scored and 251 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are USC Trojans playing?

USC Trojans have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 625 points scored and 484 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Indiana to win at -285, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Indiana against USC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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