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Predictions › United States › Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns
NBAFri 16 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center

Utah JazzAway
110.4 : 120.2
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
23%Jazz
77%Suns
Eagle safe pickSuns to win
-328

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Utah Jazz 110.4 and Phoenix Suns 120.2. Our best bet is Suns to win at -328.

Prediction
Phoenix Suns to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 110, Phoenix Suns 120
Projected total
230.6 points
Best bet
Suns to win at -328

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns to win
77% chanceFair price -3282 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 77% and Utah Jazz 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 0 of their last 5 and Utah Jazz won 2 of their last 5. Utah Jazz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 111.3 points a game and let in 111.9. Utah Jazz score 117.2 and let in 127.2. Their recent games average 223.2 and 244.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 2 and Utah Jazz won 1. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 134, Utah Jazz 109.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Utah Jazz in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 22:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Utah Jazz 110.4 and Phoenix Suns 120.2. Our best bet is Suns to win at -328.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2226 points scored and 2238 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2544 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 2, Utah Jazz won 1. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 134, Utah Jazz 109.

Our call

We expect Utah Jazz to score about 110.4 points and Phoenix Suns about 120.2. That points to Phoenix Suns to win. Our safest bet is Suns to win at -328.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsJazz
Games played2020
Wins74
Losses1316
Points scored22262344
Points conceded22382544
Scored per game111.3117.2
Conceded per game111.9127.2
Home record4W 6L3W 7L
Away record3W 7L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -15.532%+208
Suns -12.542%+141
Suns -9.551%-104
Suns -6.560%-153
Suns -3.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
224.563%37%
227.557%43%
230.550%50%
233.544%56%
236.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Phoenix Suns Sign Duop Reath to Boost Frontcourt Depth

The Phoenix Suns are signing center Duop Reath to add depth to their frontcourt while Mark Williams recovers from a shoulder injury.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Utah Jazz 110.4 and Phoenix Suns 120.2. Our best bet is Suns to win at -328.

What is the projected score for Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Utah Jazz 110.4 and Phoenix Suns 120.2, about 230.6 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2226 points scored and 2238 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2544 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 134, Utah Jazz 109. In the last 3 meetings Phoenix Suns won 2 and Utah Jazz won 1.

What is the best bet for Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns?

Suns to win at -328, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Jazz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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