Predictions › United States › Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens
NHLThu 5 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Utah MammothAway
3.3 : 3.0
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
57%Mammoth
43%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-403

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -403

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -4032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canadiens to win
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 43% and Utah Mammoth 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5 and Utah Mammoth won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Utah Mammoth won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.2. Utah Mammoth score 3.6 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.2 and 7.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 2 and Utah Mammoth won 0. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Mammothrest between games-2%
  • Canadiensteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens: Utah Mammoth shade it

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 2, Utah Mammoth won 0. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.

Our call

We expect Utah Mammoth to score about 3.3 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.0. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -403. Our bold bet is Canadiens to win at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensMammoth
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored5972
Goals conceded6469
Scored per game3.03.6
Conceded per game3.23.5
Home record6W 5L6W 3L
Away record4W 5L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -0.537%+174
Canadiens +0.553%-112
Canadiens +1.569%-220
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

What is the projected score for Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Utah Mammoth 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Utah Mammoth last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 3, Montreal Canadiens 4. In the last 2 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 2 and Utah Mammoth won 0.

What is the best bet for Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens?

Under 8 goals at -403, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Mammoth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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