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NHLSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators prediction

Canadian Tire Centre

Utah MammothAway
3.0 : 3.1
projected goals
Ottawa SenatorsHome
52%Mammoth
48%Senators
Eagle safe pickMammoth +2
-465

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -465.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Utah Mammoth 3, Ottawa Senators 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Mammoth +2 at -465

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mammoth +2
82% chanceFair price -4652 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ottawa Senators 48% and Utah Mammoth 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ottawa Senators won 2 of their last 5 and Utah Mammoth won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ottawa Senators won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Utah Mammoth won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ottawa Senators score 2.6 goals a game and let in 3.2. Utah Mammoth score 3.5 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.8 and 7.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 1. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 3, Ottawa Senators 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mammoth +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
  • Mammothrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators: Utah Mammoth shade it

The big picture

Ottawa Senators host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -465.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 1, Utah Mammoth won 1. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 3, Ottawa Senators 1.

Our call

We expect Utah Mammoth to score about 3.0 goals and Ottawa Senators about 3.1. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Mammoth +2 at -465.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SenatorsMammoth
Games played2020
Wins910
Losses1110
Goals scored5369
Goals conceded6470
Scored per game2.63.5
Conceded per game3.23.5
Home record6W 5L5W 4L
Away record3W 6L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Senators spreadCoversFair
Senators -1.528%+259
Senators -0.543%+132
Senators +0.560%-148
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators?

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 3.1. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -465.

What is the projected score for Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators?

We project Utah Mammoth 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 3.1, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Ottawa Senators and Utah Mammoth last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 3, Ottawa Senators 1. In the last 2 meetings Ottawa Senators won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 1.

What is the best bet for Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators?

Mammoth +2 at -465, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Mammoth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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