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Predictions › United States › Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 21:30 United States time

Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction

Snapdragon Stadium

Utah State AggiesAway
18.5 : 28.5
projected points
San Diego State AztecsHome
25%Utah State
75%San Diego St
Eagle safe pickSan Diego St +0.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs is San Diego State Aztecs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 18.5 and San Diego State Aztecs 28.5. Our best bet is San Diego St +0.5 at -308.

Prediction
San Diego State Aztecs to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Utah State Aggies 19, San Diego State Aztecs 29
Projected total
47.1 points
Best bet
San Diego St +0.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San Diego St +0.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Utah State to win
26% chanceFair price +2861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Diego State Aztecs 75% and Utah State Aggies 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 5 and Utah State Aggies won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Diego State Aztecs won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Utah State Aggies won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Diego State Aztecs score 26.3 points a game and let in 23.6. Utah State Aggies score 25.6 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 50.0 and 51.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    San Diego St +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs: San Diego State Aztecs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Diego State Aztecs host Utah State Aggies in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 21:30 at Snapdragon Stadium. Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs is San Diego State Aztecs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 18.5 and San Diego State Aztecs 28.5. Our best bet is San Diego St +0.5 at -308.

San Diego State Aztecs form

San Diego State Aztecs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 526 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Utah State Aggies form

Utah State Aggies have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 488 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Utah State Aggies to score about 18.5 points and San Diego State Aztecs about 28.5. That points to San Diego State Aztecs to win. Our safest bet is San Diego St +0.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Utah State to win at +286.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San Diego StUtah State
Games played2019
Wins128
Losses811
Points scored526487
Points conceded473488
Scored per game26.325.6
Conceded per game23.625.7
Home record9W 2L7W 3L
Away record3W 6L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

San Diego St spreadCoversFair
San Diego St -16.534%+193
San Diego St -12.544%+129
San Diego St -9.551%-105
San Diego St -6.559%-142
San Diego St -2.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
40.566%34%
44.556%44%
47.549%51%
50.541%59%
54.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. San Diego St +3.5 wins if San Diego St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Mumps Outbreak and Injuries Batter San Diego State Football

San Diego State is dealing with a major mumps outbreak and a long injury list ahead of their game against Texas State.

1 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs?

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs is San Diego State Aztecs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 18.5 and San Diego State Aztecs 28.5. Our best bet is San Diego St +0.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs?

We project Utah State Aggies 18.5 and San Diego State Aztecs 28.5, about 47.1 points in total.

How are San Diego State Aztecs playing?

San Diego State Aztecs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 526 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Utah State Aggies playing?

Utah State Aggies have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 488 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs?

San Diego St +0.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San Diego St against Utah State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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