Predictions › United States › Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction

Folsom Field

Utah UtesAway
31.3 : 24.2
projected points
Colorado BuffaloesHome
68%Utah
32%Colorado
Eagle safe pickColorado +17.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes is Utah Utes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Utah Utes 31.3 and Colorado Buffaloes 24.2. Our best bet is Colorado +17.5 at -299.

Prediction
Utah Utes to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Utah Utes 31, Colorado Buffaloes 24
Projected total
55.5 points
Best bet
Colorado +17.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Colorado +17.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colorado to win
32% chanceFair price +2161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Buffaloes 32% and Utah Utes 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Buffaloes won 2 of their last 5 and Utah Utes won 5 of their last 5. Utah Utes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Buffaloes won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Utah Utes won 5 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Buffaloes score 19.5 points a game and let in 30.6. Utah Utes score 40.3 and let in 17.9. Their recent games average 50.1 and 58.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Utah Utes won 1. The last one ended Utah Utes 53, Colorado Buffaloes 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Colorado +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes: Utah Utes are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Buffaloes host Utah Utes in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 00:00 at Folsom Field. Our prediction for Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes is Utah Utes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Utah Utes 31.3 and Colorado Buffaloes 24.2. Our best bet is Colorado +17.5 at -299.

Colorado Buffaloes form

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 293 points scored and 459 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Utah Utes form

Utah Utes have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 604 points scored and 268 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colorado Buffaloes won 0, Utah Utes won 1. Last time out it finished Utah Utes 53, Colorado Buffaloes 7.

Our call

We expect Utah Utes to score about 31.3 points and Colorado Buffaloes about 24.2. That points to Utah Utes to win. Our safest bet is Colorado +17.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Colorado to win at +216.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

ColoradoUtah
Games played1515
Wins413
Losses112
Points scored293604
Points conceded459268
Scored per game19.540.3
Conceded per game30.617.9
Home record3W 4L8W 1L
Away record1W 7L5W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Colorado spreadCoversFair
Colorado +0.534%+195
Colorado +4.543%+130
Colorado +7.551%-103
Colorado +10.558%-140
Colorado +14.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colorado +3.5 wins if Colorado win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Our prediction for Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes is Utah Utes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Utah Utes 31.3 and Colorado Buffaloes 24.2. Our best bet is Colorado +17.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes?

We project Utah Utes 31.3 and Colorado Buffaloes 24.2, about 55.5 points in total.

How are Colorado Buffaloes playing?

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 293 points scored and 459 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Utah Utes playing?

Utah Utes have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 604 points scored and 268 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Buffaloes and Utah Utes last met?

It ended Utah Utes 53, Colorado Buffaloes 7. In the last 1 meeting Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Utah Utes won 1.

What is the best bet for Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Colorado +17.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Utah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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