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Predictions › Spain › Valencia vs Real Madrid
LaLigaSat 7 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction

Mestalla Stadium

ValenciaHome
1.10 : 2.35
expected goals
Real MadridAway
16%Valencia
19%Draw
65%Real Madrid
Eagle safe pickReal Madrid or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Real Madrid to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Valencia 1.1, Real Madrid 2.4
Best bet
Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Real Madrid or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Madrid to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Valencia 16%, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 65%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 1.41.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Valencia took 5 points from their last 5 games and Real Madrid took 15 from 5. Real Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Valencia won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Real Madrid won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Valencia score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Real Madrid score 2.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Valencia games and 13 of Real Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Valencia won 0 and Real Madrid won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Valencia 0, Real Madrid 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Real Madrid or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Real Madridrecent form+6%
  • Valenciateam news-2%
Valencia form D D D L WReal Madrid form D W W W WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Valencia vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Valencia host Real Madrid in the LaLiga on Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 at Mestalla Stadium. Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19.

Valencia form

Valencia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Real Madrid form

Real Madrid have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Valencia won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Valencia 0, Real Madrid 2.

Our call

We expect Valencia to score about 1.1 goals and Real Madrid about 2.4. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Real Madrid to win and both score at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValenciaReal Madrid
Games played2020
Wins616
Draws51
Losses93
Goals scored2347
Goals conceded3021
Scored per game1.12.4
Conceded per game1.51.1
Home record2W 3D 6L10W 0D 0L
Away record4W 2D 3L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Valencia to win16%6.186.00-2.9%
A Draw19%5.155.25+1.9%
Real Madrid to win62%1.611.41-12.8%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.282.05-10.2%
Under 3.5 goals50%1.991.71-14.0%
Valencia +1.550%1.991.69-15.1%
Real Madrid -1.544%2.291.95-14.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%2.21
Both teams to score61%1.64
Valencia or Draw35%2.83
Real Madrid or Draw84%1.19
Valencia to win and Over 2.511%9.12
Real Madrid to win and Over 2.549%2.04
Valencia clean sheet10%10.48
Real Madrid clean sheet33%3.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.6%
0-28.7%
1-18.7%
1-37.6%
0-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
LaLiga

LaLiga Boss Meets Chinese Officials After Mbappé Comments

Javier Tebas met with China's ambassador to Spain to repair ties following Kylian Mbappé's comments about Mao Zedong.

13 hours ago
LaLiga

Mourinho Proves His Bench Magic As Real Madrid Beat Barcelona

José Mourinho used late substitutions to seal a 2-1 Clásico victory over Barcelona at Camp Nou.

27 Oct 2026
Premier League

Real Madrid Eye Mac Allister as Liverpool Consider Midfield Options

Real Madrid are tracking Liverpool star Alexis Mac Allister, while Premier League clubs target fresh talent across Europe.

27 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Valencia to score 1.1 goals and Real Madrid 2.4.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Valencia last 20 games and 13 of Real Madrid last 20.

How are Valencia playing?

Valencia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Real Madrid playing?

Real Madrid have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Valencia and Real Madrid last met?

It ended Valencia 0, Real Madrid 2. In the last 2 meetings Valencia won 0 and Real Madrid won 2.

What is the best bet for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valencia against Real Madrid. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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