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Predictions › United States › Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators prediction

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Vanderbilt CommodoresAway
22.3 : 31.9
projected points
Florida GatorsHome
26%Vanderbilt
74%Florida
Eagle safe pickUnder 64.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators is Florida Gators to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 22.3 and Florida Gators 31.9. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Florida Gators to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Vanderbilt Commodores 22, Florida Gators 32
Projected total
54.1 points
Best bet
Under 64.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 64.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vanderbilt to win
27% chanceFair price +2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Gators 74% and Vanderbilt Commodores 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Gators won 1 of their last 5 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida Gators won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Vanderbilt Commodores won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida Gators score 25.3 points a game and let in 27.3. Vanderbilt Commodores score 30.9 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 52.5 and 57.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 64.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators: Florida Gators are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Florida Gators host Vanderbilt Commodores in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 12:00 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators is Florida Gators to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 22.3 and Florida Gators 31.9. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -301.

Florida Gators form

Florida Gators have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 480 points scored and 518 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 618 points scored and 539 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vanderbilt Commodores to score about 22.3 points and Florida Gators about 31.9. That points to Florida Gators to win. Our safest bet is Under 64.5 points at -301. Our bold bet is Vanderbilt to win at +277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FloridaVanderbilt
Games played1920
Wins812
Losses118
Points scored480618
Points conceded518539
Scored per game25.330.9
Conceded per game27.326.9
Home record6W 4L9W 3L
Away record2W 7L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Florida spreadCoversFair
Florida -16.533%+201
Florida -12.543%+134
Florida -9.550%-101
Florida -6.558%-136
Florida -2.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
47.566%34%
51.557%43%
54.549%51%
57.542%58%
61.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Florida +3.5 wins if Florida win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Florida Gators Turn To Tramell Jones Jr. At Quarterback Against Oklahoma

No. 24 Florida is expected to start quarterback Tramell Jones Jr. on Saturday night when the Gators host Oklahoma.

5 Nov 2026
College Football

Oklahoma Changes Offense Ahead of Florida Matchup

Oklahoma coach Brent Venables has turned the offense over to Jason Witten after firing Ben Arbuckle ahead of Saturday's game against Florida.

4 Nov 2026
College Football

Georgia Defense Rules in Atlanta Win Over Florida

Georgia bounced back from an Auburn loss by beating Florida 27-8 in Atlanta behind four forced turnovers and strong rushing.

1 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators?

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators is Florida Gators to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 22.3 and Florida Gators 31.9. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators?

We project Vanderbilt Commodores 22.3 and Florida Gators 31.9, about 54.1 points in total.

How are Florida Gators playing?

Florida Gators have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 480 points scored and 518 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 618 points scored and 539 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators?

Under 64.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Florida against Vanderbilt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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