Quick answer
Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 75% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 21.9 and Kentucky Wildcats 31.1. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -360.
- Prediction
- Kentucky Wildcats to win
- Chance
- 75%
- Projected score
- Vanderbilt Commodores 22, Kentucky Wildcats 31
- Projected total
- 53.0 points
- Best bet
- Kentucky to win at -360
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Kentucky to win
75% chancePrice -3601 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Kentucky Wildcats 75% and Vanderbilt Commodores 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Kentucky Wildcats the favourite at -360.
- 2
Recent formKentucky Wildcats won 4 of their last 5 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 2 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayKentucky Wildcats won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Vanderbilt Commodores won 2 of their last 6 on the road.
- 4
ScoringKentucky Wildcats score 27.3 points a game and let in 27.4. Vanderbilt Commodores score 32.6 and let in 26.5. Their recent games average 54.8 and 59.2 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Kentucky Wildcats won 0 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 1. The last one ended Vanderbilt Commodores 45, Kentucky Wildcats 17.
- 6
The safest betKentucky to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewVanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats: Kentucky Wildcats are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Kentucky Wildcats host Vanderbilt Commodores in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Kroger Field. Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 75% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 21.9 and Kentucky Wildcats 31.1. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -360.
Kentucky Wildcats form
Kentucky Wildcats have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 437 points scored and 439 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.
Vanderbilt Commodores form
Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 555 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Kentucky Wildcats won 0, Vanderbilt Commodores won 1. Last time out it finished Vanderbilt Commodores 45, Kentucky Wildcats 17.
Our call
We expect Vanderbilt Commodores to score about 21.9 points and Kentucky Wildcats about 31.1. That points to Kentucky Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Kentucky to win at -360.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 17 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kentucky +3.5 wins if Kentucky win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 75% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 21.9 and Kentucky Wildcats 31.1. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -360.
What is the projected score for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
We project Vanderbilt Commodores 21.9 and Kentucky Wildcats 31.1, about 53.0 points in total.
How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?
Kentucky Wildcats have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 437 points scored and 439 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.
How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?
Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 555 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.
What happened when Kentucky Wildcats and Vanderbilt Commodores last met?
It ended Vanderbilt Commodores 45, Kentucky Wildcats 17. In the last 1 meeting Kentucky Wildcats won 0 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 1.
What is the best bet for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
Kentucky to win at -360, with a 75% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kentucky against Vanderbilt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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