Predictions › Italy › Venezia vs Internazionale
Serie AWed 28 Oct, 17:30 Italy time

Venezia vs Internazionale prediction

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

VeneziaHome
0.77 : 2.31
expected goals
InternazionaleAway
10%Venezia
18%Draw
72%Inter Milan
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Venezia vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Internazionale to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Venezia 0.8, Internazionale 2.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and both score
29% chanceFair price 3.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Venezia 10%, the draw 18% and Internazionale 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Venezia took 3 points from their last 5 games and Internazionale took 10 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Venezia won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Internazionale won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Venezia score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Internazionale score 2.5 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Venezia games and 14 of Internazionale games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Veneziarecent form-6%
  • Inter Milanrecent form+1%
  • Veneziarest between games-5%
  • Inter Milanrest between games-5%
Venezia form D L L L LInter Milan form D L W D WHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Venezia vs Internazionale: Internazionale are favourites

The big picture

Venezia host Internazionale in the Serie A on Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. Our prediction for Venezia vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Venezia form

Venezia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Venezia to score about 0.8 goals and Internazionale about 2.3. That points to Internazionale to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and both score at 3.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VeneziaInter Milan
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws56
Losses63
Goals scored3350
Goals conceded2529
Scored per game1.62.5
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record8W 0D 3L7W 2D 1L
Away record1W 5D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69
Both teams to score49%2.05
Venezia or Draw28%3.51
Internazionale or Draw90%1.11
Venezia to win and Over 2.56%17.00
Internazionale to win and Over 2.549%2.03
Venezia clean sheet10%10.09
Internazionale clean sheet46%2.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-212.3%
0-110.1%
0-39.4%
1-29.4%
1-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Venezia vs Internazionale?

Our prediction for Venezia vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Venezia vs Internazionale?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-3. We expect Venezia to score 0.8 goals and Internazionale 2.3.

Will both teams score in Venezia vs Internazionale?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Venezia last 20 games and 14 of Internazionale last 20.

How are Venezia playing?

Venezia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Internazionale playing?

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Venezia vs Internazionale?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Venezia against Inter Milan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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