Predictions › Norway › VIKING FK vs Tromso
EliteserienSun 25 Oct, 13:30 Norway time

VIKING FK vs Tromso prediction

Viking Stadion

VIKING FKHome
3.10 : 1.25
expected goals
TromsoAway
74%VIKING FK
14%Draw
12%Tromso
Eagle safe pickVIKING FK draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for VIKING FK vs Tromso is VIKING FK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
VIKING FK to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
3-1
Expected goals
VIKING FK 3.1, Tromso 1.3
Best bet
VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

VIKING FK draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 3-1
8% chanceFair price 12.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VIKING FK 74%, the draw 14% and Tromso 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VIKING FK took 10 points from their last 5 games and Tromso took 5 from 5. VIKING FK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VIKING FK won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Tromso won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VIKING FK score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Tromso score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of VIKING FK games and 9 of Tromso games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, VIKING FK won 1 and Tromso won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tromso 1, VIKING FK 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    VIKING FK draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • VIKING FKrecent form+3%
  • Tromsorecent form-1%
  • VIKING FKrest between games-5%
VIKING FK form D W W W LTromso form D W L L DHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VIKING FK vs Tromso: VIKING FK are favourites

The big picture

VIKING FK host Tromso in the Eliteserien on Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 at Viking Stadion. Our prediction for VIKING FK vs Tromso is VIKING FK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18.

VIKING FK form

VIKING FK have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Tromso form

Tromso have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. VIKING FK won 1, Tromso won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tromso 1, VIKING FK 3.

Our call

We expect VIKING FK to score about 3.1 goals and Tromso about 1.3. That points to VIKING FK to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-1 at 12.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VIKING FKTromso
Games played2020
Wins149
Draws36
Losses35
Goals scored4935
Goals conceded2329
Scored per game2.51.8
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record8W 1D 0L6W 3D 1L
Away record6W 2D 3L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.24
Over 3.5 goals63%1.58
Both teams to score68%1.46
VIKING FK or Draw88%1.13
Tromso or Draw26%3.82
VIKING FK to win and Over 2.564%1.57
Tromso to win and Over 2.59%10.60
VIKING FK clean sheet29%3.49
Tromso clean sheet5%22.15

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-18.0%
2-17.8%
3-06.4%
2-06.2%
4-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win VIKING FK vs Tromso?

Our prediction for VIKING FK vs Tromso is VIKING FK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for VIKING FK vs Tromso?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect VIKING FK to score 3.1 goals and Tromso 1.3.

Will both teams score in VIKING FK vs Tromso?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of VIKING FK last 20 games and 9 of Tromso last 20.

How are VIKING FK playing?

VIKING FK have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Tromso playing?

Tromso have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when VIKING FK and Tromso last met?

It ended Tromso 1, VIKING FK 3. In the last 1 meeting VIKING FK won 1 and Tromso won 0.

What is the best bet for VIKING FK vs Tromso?

VIKING FK draw no bet at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in VIKING FK against Tromso. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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