Predictions › Spain › Villarreal vs Getafe

LaLigaSun 8 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Estadio de la Cerámica

VillarrealHome

1.94 : 0.72

expected goals

GetafeAway

66%Villarreal

22%Draw

13%Getafe

Eagle safe pickVillarreal draw no bet

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe is Villarreal to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction: Villarreal to win
Chance: 66%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Villarreal 1.9, Getafe 0.7
Best bet: Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Villarreal draw no bet

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Villarreal to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Villarreal 66%, the draw 22% and Getafe 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Villarreal the favourite at 1.48.
2
Recent form
Villarreal took 7 points from their last 5 games and Getafe took 2 from 5. Villarreal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Villarreal won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Getafe won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Villarreal score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Getafe score 0.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Villarreal games and 5 of Getafe games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 1 and Getafe won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Getafe 2, Villarreal 1.
6
The safest bet
Villarreal draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Villarrealrecent form+1%
Getaferecent form-3%

Villarreal form D W L D WGetafe form D L D D LHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Villarreal vs Getafe: Villarreal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Villarreal host Getafe in the LaLiga on Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio de la Cerámica. Our prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe is Villarreal to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19.

Villarreal form

Villarreal have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Getafe form

Getafe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Villarreal won 1, Getafe won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Getafe 2, Villarreal 1.

Our call

We expect Villarreal to score about 1.9 goals and Getafe about 0.7. That points to Villarreal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Villarreal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Villarreal	Getafe
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	5	5
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	39	13
Goals conceded	32	28
Scored per game	1.9	0.7
Conceded per game	1.6	1.4
Home record	5W 1D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 5L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	5%	25%
Both teams scored	80%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Villarreal to win	63%	1.58	1.48	-6.3%
A Draw	22%	4.59	4.20	-8.5%
Getafe to win	12%	8.07	6.50	-19.5%
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.12	1.83	-13.7%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.14	1.87	-12.7%
Villarreal -1.5	40%	2.52	2.25	-10.6%
Getafe +1.5	54%	1.86	1.51	-18.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.60
Both teams to score	45%	2.24
Villarreal or Draw	87%	1.14
Getafe or Draw	35%	2.90
Villarreal to win and Over 2.5	39%	2.53
Getafe to win and Over 2.5	6%	16.00
Villarreal clean sheet	48%	2.06
Getafe clean sheet	14%	6.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.1%

1-012.9%

1-110.4%

2-19.5%

3-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

LaLiga

Aubameyang Matches Ibrahimovic Record in Dream LaLiga Start

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14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Villarreal vs Getafe?

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe is Villarreal to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Villarreal to score 1.9 goals and Getafe 0.7.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Getafe?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Villarreal last 20 games and 6 of Getafe last 20.

How are Villarreal playing?

How are Getafe playing?

What happened when Villarreal and Getafe last met?

It ended Getafe 2, Villarreal 1. In the last 2 meetings Villarreal won 1 and Getafe won 1.

What is the best bet for Villarreal vs Getafe?

Villarreal draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Villarreal against Getafe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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