Predictions › United Kingdom › West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall
ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall prediction

The Hawthorns

West Bromwich AlbionHome
1.31 : 1.16
expected goals
MillwallAway
39%West Brom
29%Draw
32%Millwall
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
West Bromwich Albion to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
West Bromwich Albion 1.3, Millwall 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Bromwich Albion 39%, the draw 29% and Millwall 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Bromwich Albion took 7 points from their last 5 games and Millwall took 5 from 5. West Bromwich Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Bromwich Albion won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Millwall won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Bromwich Albion score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Millwall score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of West Bromwich Albion games and 10 of Millwall games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, West Bromwich Albion won 0 and Millwall won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended West Bromwich Albion 0, Millwall 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

West Brom form D W W L LMillwall form D D L W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall: West Bromwich Albion shade it

The big picture

West Bromwich Albion host Millwall in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at The Hawthorns. Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Millwall form

Millwall have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. West Bromwich Albion won 0, Millwall won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished West Bromwich Albion 0, Millwall 0.

Our call

We expect West Bromwich Albion to score about 1.3 goals and Millwall about 1.2. That points to West Bromwich Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West BromMillwall
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws66
Losses57
Goals scored2827
Goals conceded1926
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game0.91.3
Home record4W 4D 1L3W 2D 4L
Away record5W 2D 4L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%2/5
Over 2.5 goals45%5/4
Over 3.5 goals24%10/3
Both teams to score51%Evens
West Bromwich Albion or Draw68%1/2
Millwall or Draw61%4/6
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Millwall to win and Over 2.517%9/2
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet31%11/5
Millwall clean sheet27%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.3%
0-09.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect West Bromwich Albion to score 1.3 goals and Millwall 1.2.

Will both teams score in West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of West Bromwich Albion last 20 games and 9 of Millwall last 20.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when West Bromwich Albion and Millwall last met?

It ended West Bromwich Albion 0, Millwall 0. In the last 2 meetings West Bromwich Albion won 0 and Millwall won 1.

What is the best bet for West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Brom against Millwall. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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