Predictions › United Kingdom › West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers
ChampionshipFri 9 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

London Stadium

West Ham UnitedHome
2.09 : 1.03
expected goals
Queens Park RangersAway
61%West Ham
22%Draw
17%QPR
Eagle safe pickWest Ham United or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers is West Ham United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
West Ham United to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
West Ham United 2.1, Queens Park Rangers 1.0
Best bet
West Ham United or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

West Ham United or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Ham United to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Ham United 61%, the draw 22% and Queens Park Rangers 17%. The bookmakers agree and make West Ham United the favourite at 8/15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Ham United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Queens Park Rangers took 6 from 5. West Ham United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Ham United won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Queens Park Rangers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Ham United score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Queens Park Rangers score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of West Ham United games and 11 of Queens Park Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, West Ham United won 1 and Queens Park Rangers won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended West Ham United 2, Queens Park Rangers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    West Ham United or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • West Hamrecent form+3%
West Ham form D L W W WQPR form D D D L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers: West Ham United are favourites

The big picture

West Ham United host Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Fri 9 Oct, 20:00 at London Stadium. Our prediction for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers is West Ham United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 1/4.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. West Ham United won 1, Queens Park Rangers won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished West Ham United 2, Queens Park Rangers 1.

Our call

We expect West Ham United to score about 2.1 goals and Queens Park Rangers about 1.0. That points to West Ham United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is West Ham United or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is West Ham United to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West HamQPR
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws57
Losses67
Goals scored4326
Goals conceded2827
Scored per game2.11.3
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record7W 1D 3L3W 4D 4L
Away record2W 4D 3L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
West Ham United to win59%4/68/15-9.0%
A Draw21%7/210/3-7.1%
Queens Park Rangers to win17%5/14/1-10.2%
Over 2.5 goals58%8/118/15-11.6%
Under 2.5 goals37%7/411/8-13.9%
West Ham United -1.536%9/511/8-15.5%
Queens Park Rangers +1.559%4/61/2-12.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals38%13/8
Both teams to score57%8/11
West Ham United or Draw83%1/5
Queens Park Rangers or Draw39%8/5
West Ham United to win and Over 2.543%11/8
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.511%8/1
West Ham United clean sheet36%9/5
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet12%7/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
1-08.7%
3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers is West Ham United to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect West Ham United to score 2.1 goals and Queens Park Rangers 1.0.

Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of West Ham United last 20 games and 12 of Queens Park Rangers last 20.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when West Ham United and Queens Park Rangers last met?

It ended West Ham United 2, Queens Park Rangers 1. In the last 1 meeting West Ham United won 1 and Queens Park Rangers won 0.

What is the best bet for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

West Ham United or Draw at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Ham against QPR. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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