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Predictions › United Kingdom › West Ham United vs Southampton
ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

West Ham United vs Southampton prediction

London Stadium

West Ham UnitedHome
2.24 : 1.39
expected goals
SouthamptonAway
56%West Ham
21%Draw
23%Southampton
Eagle safe pickWest Ham United or Draw
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Southampton is West Ham United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 3/10.

Prediction
West Ham United to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
West Ham United 2.2, Southampton 1.4
Best bet
West Ham United or Draw at 3/10
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

West Ham United or Draw
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Ham United to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Ham United 56%, the draw 21% and Southampton 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Ham United took 8 points from their last 5 games and Southampton took 10 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Ham United won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Southampton won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Ham United score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Southampton score 2.0 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of West Ham United games and 15 of Southampton games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, West Ham United won 1 and Southampton won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Southampton 1, West Ham United 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    West Ham United or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • West Hamrecent form+1%
  • Southamptonrecent form+1%
West Ham form D D L W WSouthampton form D L W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Ham United vs Southampton: West Ham United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

West Ham United host Southampton in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at London Stadium. Our prediction for West Ham United vs Southampton is West Ham United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 3/10.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Southampton form

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. West Ham United won 1, Southampton won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Southampton 1, West Ham United 4.

Our call

We expect West Ham United to score about 2.2 goals and Southampton about 1.4. That points to West Ham United to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is West Ham United or Draw at 3/10. Our bold bet is West Ham United to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West HamSouthampton
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws65
Losses54
Goals scored4440
Goals conceded2724
Scored per game2.22.0
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record7W 2D 3L8W 2D 1L
Away record2W 4D 2L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored65%80%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%2/15
Over 2.5 goals70%4/9
Over 3.5 goals49%21/20
Both teams to score68%1/2
West Ham United or Draw77%3/10
Southampton or Draw44%5/4
West Ham United to win and Over 2.544%5/4
Southampton to win and Over 2.517%5/1
West Ham United clean sheet25%3/1
Southampton clean sheet11%17/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.3%
1-18.8%
3-16.9%
2-06.7%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Massive Police Presence Set for Millwall and West Ham Derby

Police are deploying 400 officers and facial recognition technology for the first Dockers Derby in 14 years.

19 Sept 2026
Championship

Millwall and West Ham ready to renew historic London rivalry at The Den

One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026
Championship

West Ham Dominate Wrexham in Record Breaking London Stadium Match

Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

11 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win West Ham United vs Southampton?

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Southampton is West Ham United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is West Ham United or Draw at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for West Ham United vs Southampton?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect West Ham United to score 2.2 goals and Southampton 1.4.

Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Southampton?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of West Ham United last 20 games and 16 of Southampton last 20.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Southampton playing?

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when West Ham United and Southampton last met?

It ended Southampton 1, West Ham United 4. In the last 1 meeting West Ham United won 1 and Southampton won 0.

What is the best bet for West Ham United vs Southampton?

West Ham United or Draw at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Ham against Southampton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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