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Predictions › United States › Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLThu 29 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Benchmark International Arena

Winnipeg JetsAway
2.4 : 3.5
projected goals
Tampa Bay LightningHome
28%Jets
72%Lightning
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-441

Quick answer

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 72% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Winnipeg Jets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -441

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
82% chanceFair price -4412 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jets to win
29% chanceFair price +2501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 72% and Winnipeg Jets 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 of their last 5 and Winnipeg Jets won 2 of their last 5. Tampa Bay Lightning come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Winnipeg Jets won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.6 goals a game and let in 2.6. Winnipeg Jets score 2.5 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.2 and 5.9 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Winnipeg Jets won 1. The last one ended Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lightningrest between games-2%
  • Jetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Lightning host Winnipeg Jets in the NHL on Thu 29 Oct, 19:00 at Benchmark International Arena. Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 72% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Winnipeg Jets won 1. Last time out it finished Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1.

Our call

We expect Winnipeg Jets to score about 2.4 goals and Tampa Bay Lightning about 3.5. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -441. Our bold bet is Jets to win at +250.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LightningJets
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Goals scored5249
Goals conceded5269
Scored per game2.62.5
Conceded per game2.63.5
Home record7W 5L4W 6L
Away record4W 4L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lightning spreadCoversFair
Lightning -2.528%+258
Lightning -1.543%+131
Lightning -0.560%-149
Total goalsOverUnder
4.572%28%
5.556%44%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lightning +3.5 wins if Lightning win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Jets Prepare for Possible Connor Hellebuyck Return

Connor Hellebuyck is expected to finish his suspension this week, leaving the Winnipeg Jets bracing for his potential return.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Our prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 72% chance. We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -441.

What is the projected score for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

We project Winnipeg Jets 2.4 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.5, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets last met?

It ended Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1. In the last 2 meetings Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Winnipeg Jets won 1.

What is the best bet for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Over 4 goals at -441, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lightning against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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