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College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction

Kinnick Stadium

Wisconsin BadgersAway
12.9 : 26.5
projected points
Iowa HawkeyesHome
20%Wisconsin
80%Iowa
Eagle safe pickIowa to win
-405

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 80% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 12.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 26.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -405.

Prediction
Iowa Hawkeyes to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Wisconsin Badgers 13, Iowa Hawkeyes 27
Projected total
39.4 points
Best bet
Iowa to win at -405

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa to win
80% chanceFair price -4052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iowa Hawkeyes 80% and Wisconsin Badgers 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 4 of their last 5 and Wisconsin Badgers won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Wisconsin Badgers won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Iowa Hawkeyes score 30.6 points a game and let in 16.1. Wisconsin Badgers score 16.3 and let in 21.8. Their recent games average 46.6 and 38.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Iowa Hawkeyes won 1 and Wisconsin Badgers won 0. The last one ended Wisconsin Badgers 0, Iowa Hawkeyes 37.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Iowa to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes: Iowa Hawkeyes are favourites

The big picture

Iowa Hawkeyes host Wisconsin Badgers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Kinnick Stadium. Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 80% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 12.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 26.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -405.

Iowa Hawkeyes form

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 520 points scored and 273 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 260 points scored and 349 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Iowa Hawkeyes won 1, Wisconsin Badgers won 0. Last time out it finished Wisconsin Badgers 0, Iowa Hawkeyes 37.

Our call

We expect Wisconsin Badgers to score about 12.9 points and Iowa Hawkeyes about 26.5. That points to Iowa Hawkeyes to win. Our safest bet is Iowa to win at -405.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

IowaWisconsin
Games played1716
Wins136
Losses410
Points scored520260
Points conceded273349
Scored per game30.616.3
Conceded per game16.121.8
Home record7W 3L5W 3L
Away record6W 1L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Iowa spreadCoversFair
Iowa -20.533%+199
Iowa -16.543%+133
Iowa -13.550%-101
Iowa -10.558%-137
Iowa -6.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
32.567%33%
36.557%43%
39.550%50%
42.542%58%
46.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa +3.5 wins if Iowa win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 80% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 12.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 26.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -405.

What is the projected score for Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

We project Wisconsin Badgers 12.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 26.5, about 39.4 points in total.

How are Iowa Hawkeyes playing?

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 520 points scored and 273 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 260 points scored and 349 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Iowa Hawkeyes and Wisconsin Badgers last met?

It ended Wisconsin Badgers 0, Iowa Hawkeyes 37. In the last 1 meeting Iowa Hawkeyes won 1 and Wisconsin Badgers won 0.

What is the best bet for Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Iowa to win at -405, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iowa against Wisconsin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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