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Predictions › United States › Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction

Ross-Ade Stadium

Wisconsin BadgersAway
20.2 : 26.5
projected points
Purdue BoilermakersHome
36%Wisconsin
64%Purdue
Eagle safe pickWisconsin +16.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Purdue Boilermakers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.2 and Purdue Boilermakers 26.5. Our best bet is Wisconsin +16.5 at -299.

Prediction
Purdue Boilermakers to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Wisconsin Badgers 20, Purdue Boilermakers 26
Projected total
46.7 points
Best bet
Wisconsin +16.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wisconsin +16.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wisconsin to win
34% chanceFair price +1961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Purdue Boilermakers 64% and Wisconsin Badgers 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 5 and Wisconsin Badgers won 3 of their last 5. Wisconsin Badgers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Wisconsin Badgers won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Purdue Boilermakers score 22.4 points a game and let in 34.5. Wisconsin Badgers score 16.6 and let in 20.8. Their recent games average 56.9 and 37.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wisconsin +16.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wisconsinteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers: Purdue Boilermakers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Purdue Boilermakers host Wisconsin Badgers in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 12:00 at Ross-Ade Stadium. Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Purdue Boilermakers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.2 and Purdue Boilermakers 26.5. Our best bet is Wisconsin +16.5 at -299.

Purdue Boilermakers form

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 425 points scored and 656 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 315 points scored and 396 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Wisconsin Badgers to score about 20.2 points and Purdue Boilermakers about 26.5. That points to Purdue Boilermakers to win. Our safest bet is Wisconsin +16.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Wisconsin to win at +196.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

PurdueWisconsin
Games played1919
Wins38
Losses1611
Points scored425315
Points conceded656396
Scored per game22.416.6
Conceded per game34.520.8
Home record2W 9L7W 3L
Away record1W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Purdue spreadCoversFair
Purdue -13.533%+207
Purdue -9.542%+138
Purdue -6.549%+102
Purdue -3.557%-132
Purdue +0.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.558%42%
46.550%50%
49.543%57%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Purdue +3.5 wins if Purdue win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Wisconsin to Start Freshman Quarterback Ryan Hopkins Against Rutgers

Wisconsin is turning to freshman Ryan Hopkins at quarterback for Saturday's game against Rutgers as starter Colton Joseph deals with injuries.

6 Nov 2026
College Football

Wisconsin Upsets No. 16 USC as Ex Trojan Bryan Jackson Scores

Bryan Jackson scored against his former team as Wisconsin upset No. 16 USC 24-7 on Saturday night in Madison.

25 Oct 2026
College Football

Purdue Drops to 0-12 in Games Following Taylor Swift Album Releases

Purdue fell to 0-12 in games played within seven days of a Taylor Swift album release after losing 49-10 to Notre Dame.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Our prediction for Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Purdue Boilermakers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.2 and Purdue Boilermakers 26.5. Our best bet is Wisconsin +16.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

We project Wisconsin Badgers 20.2 and Purdue Boilermakers 26.5, about 46.7 points in total.

How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 425 points scored and 656 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 315 points scored and 396 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Wisconsin +16.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Purdue against Wisconsin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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