Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers
MLBMon 12 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction

American Family Field

Los Angeles DodgersAway
4.4 : 4.5
projected runs
Milwaukee BrewersHome
52%Dodgers
48%Brewers
Eagle safe pickDodgers +2.5
-280

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.4 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.5. Our best bet is Dodgers +2.5 at -280.

Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Los Angeles Dodgers 4, Milwaukee Brewers 4
Projected total
8.8 runs
Best bet
Dodgers +2.5 at -280

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dodgers +2.5
74% chanceFair price -2801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Brewers 48% and Los Angeles Dodgers 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Brewers won 4 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Brewers won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Dodgers won 9 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Brewers score 5.5 runs a game and let in 3.2. Los Angeles Dodgers score 4.3 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 8.8 and 6.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Milwaukee Brewers won 3 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 2. The last one ended Los Angeles Dodgers 2, Milwaukee Brewers 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dodgers +2.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brewersrest between games-5%
  • Dodgersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers: Los Angeles Dodgers shade it

The big picture

Milwaukee Brewers host Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB on Mon 12 Oct, 00:00 at American Family Field. Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.4 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.5. Our best bet is Dodgers +2.5 at -280.

Milwaukee Brewers form

Milwaukee Brewers have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Dodgers form

Los Angeles Dodgers have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Milwaukee Brewers won 3, Los Angeles Dodgers won 2. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Dodgers 2, Milwaukee Brewers 6.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Dodgers to score about 4.4 runs and Milwaukee Brewers about 4.5. That points to Los Angeles Dodgers to win. Our safest bet is Dodgers +2.5 at -280.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrewersDodgers
Games played2020
Wins1614
Losses46
Runs scored11187
Runs conceded6449
Scored per game5.54.3
Conceded per game3.22.5
Home record8W 1L5W 3L
Away record8W 3L9W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Brewers spreadCoversFair
Brewers -2.528%+253
Brewers -1.537%+171
Brewers -0.546%+117
Brewers +0.556%-125
Brewers +1.565%-184
Total runsOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.562%38%
8.553%47%
9.544%56%
10.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Brewers +3.5 wins if Brewers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.4 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.5. Our best bet is Dodgers +2.5 at -280.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers?

We project Los Angeles Dodgers 4.4 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.5, about 8.8 runs in total.

How are Milwaukee Brewers playing?

Milwaukee Brewers have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Dodgers playing?

Los Angeles Dodgers have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 87 runs scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Dodgers 2, Milwaukee Brewers 6. In the last 5 meetings Milwaukee Brewers won 3 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 2.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Dodgers +2.5 at -280, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brewers against Dodgers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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