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Predictions › United States › Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers prediction

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Alabama Crimson TideAway
23.3 : 28.9
projected points
LSU TigersHome
43%Alabama
57%LSU
Eagle safe pickLSU +5.5
-324

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 23.3 and LSU Tigers 28.9. Our best bet is LSU +5.5 at -324.

Prediction
LSU Tigers to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Alabama Crimson Tide 23, LSU Tigers 29
Projected total
52.2 points
Best bet
LSU +5.5 at -324

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LSU +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3242 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LSU Tigers 57% and Alabama Crimson Tide 43%. The bookmakers agree and make LSU Tigers the favourite at -175.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LSU Tigers won 4 of their last 5 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 3 of their last 5. LSU Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LSU Tigers won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Alabama Crimson Tide won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    LSU Tigers score 30.4 points a game and let in 19.4. Alabama Crimson Tide score 31.1 and let in 20.6. Their recent games average 49.8 and 51.7 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, LSU Tigers won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. The last one ended Alabama Crimson Tide 20, LSU Tigers 9.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    LSU +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alabamateam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers: LSU Tigers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LSU Tigers host Alabama Crimson Tide in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 at Tiger Stadium (LA). Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 23.3 and LSU Tigers 28.9. Our best bet is LSU +5.5 at -324.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 578 points scored and 369 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Alabama Crimson Tide form

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 621 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. LSU Tigers won 0, Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. Last time out it finished Alabama Crimson Tide 20, LSU Tigers 9.

Our call

We expect Alabama Crimson Tide to score about 23.3 points and LSU Tigers about 28.9. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is LSU +5.5 at -324.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LSUAlabama
Games played1920
Wins1115
Losses85
Points scored578621
Points conceded369413
Scored per game30.431.1
Conceded per game19.420.6
Home record10W 1L8W 3L
Away record1W 7L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
LSU to win57%-134-175-9.9%
Alabama to win38%+167+145-8.1%
LSU -4.549%+104-105-4.5%
Alabama +4.545%+122-115-15.8%
Over 52.5 points46%+115-110-11.3%
Under 52.5 points48%+110-110-9.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

LSU spreadCoversFair
LSU -12.533%+200
LSU -8.543%+133
LSU -5.550%-101
LSU -2.558%-137
LSU +1.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.557%43%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. LSU +3.5 wins if LSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Alabama Guard William Sanders Facing Absence After Injury Against Texas A&M

Alabama starting left guard William Sanders suffered a lower leg injury against Texas A&M and is expected to miss multiple weeks.

25 Oct 2026
College Football

LSU Offense Finds Its Groove Under Kiffin With Dominant Win at Auburn

LSU beat Auburn 38-17 on Saturday behind a huge game from Sam Leavitt, giving Lane Kiffin his first SEC road victory with the program.

24 Oct 2026
College Football

Alabama Missing Key Players For Clash With Texas A&M

Alabama faces Texas A&M without several key starters as the Crimson Tide try to end a two-game losing streak.

24 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 23.3 and LSU Tigers 28.9. Our best bet is LSU +5.5 at -324.

What is the projected score for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?

We project Alabama Crimson Tide 23.3 and LSU Tigers 28.9, about 52.2 points in total.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 578 points scored and 369 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Alabama Crimson Tide playing?

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 621 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide last met?

It ended Alabama Crimson Tide 20, LSU Tigers 9. In the last 1 meeting LSU Tigers won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1.

What is the best bet for Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers?

LSU +5.5 at -324, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LSU against Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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