Predictions › United States › Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams
NFLSun 18 Oct, 16:05 United States time

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams prediction

SoFi Stadium

Arizona CardinalsAway
20.3 : 30.8
projected points
Los Angeles RamsHome
21%Cardinals
79%Rams
Eagle safe pickUnder 58.5 points
-279

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona Cardinals 20.3 and Los Angeles Rams 30.8. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -279.

Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Arizona Cardinals 20, Los Angeles Rams 31
Projected total
51.1 points
Best bet
Under 58.5 points at -279

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 58.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Rams 79% and Arizona Cardinals 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -625.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Rams won 3 of their last 5 and Arizona Cardinals won 1 of their last 5. Los Angeles Rams come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Rams won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Arizona Cardinals won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Rams score 29.1 points a game and let in 21.1. Arizona Cardinals score 22.4 and let in 31.6. Their recent games average 50.2 and 54.0 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Los Angeles Rams won 2 and Arizona Cardinals won 0. The last one ended Los Angeles Rams 37, Arizona Cardinals 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 58.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams: Los Angeles Rams are favourites

The big picture

Los Angeles Rams host Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 16:05 at SoFi Stadium. Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona Cardinals 20.3 and Los Angeles Rams 30.8. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -279.

Los Angeles Rams form

Los Angeles Rams have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 583 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Arizona Cardinals form

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 632 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Los Angeles Rams won 2, Arizona Cardinals won 0. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Rams 37, Arizona Cardinals 20.

Our call

We expect Arizona Cardinals to score about 20.3 points and Los Angeles Rams about 30.8. That points to Los Angeles Rams to win. Our safest bet is Under 58.5 points at -279.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RamsCardinals
Games played2020
Wins143
Losses617
Points scored583447
Points conceded421632
Scored per game29.122.4
Conceded per game21.131.6
Home record7W 1L0W 8L
Away record7W 5L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Rams to win79%-375-625-8.4%
Cardinals to win18%+454+455+0.2%
Rams -10.547%+115-110-11.2%
Cardinals +10.547%+114-110-10.7%
Over 51.5 points46%+119-105-11.0%
Under 51.5 points48%+110-115-10.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Rams spreadCoversFair
Rams -17.530%+232
Rams -13.541%+143
Rams -10.550%+101
Rams -7.559%-142
Rams -3.570%-230
Total pointsOverUnder
44.570%30%
48.558%42%
51.549%51%
54.540%60%
58.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rams +3.5 wins if Rams win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams?

Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona Cardinals 20.3 and Los Angeles Rams 30.8. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -279.

What is the projected score for Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams?

We project Arizona Cardinals 20.3 and Los Angeles Rams 30.8, about 51.1 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Rams playing?

Los Angeles Rams have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 583 points scored and 421 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Arizona Cardinals playing?

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 632 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals last met?

It ended Los Angeles Rams 37, Arizona Cardinals 20. In the last 2 meetings Los Angeles Rams won 2 and Arizona Cardinals won 0.

What is the best bet for Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams?

Under 58.5 points at -279, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rams against Cardinals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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