Predictions › United States › Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
NFLSun 1 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills prediction

Highmark Stadium

Baltimore RavensAway
24.6 : 26.9
projected points
Buffalo BillsHome
43%Ravens
57%Bills
Eagle safe pickUnder 59.5 points
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 24.6 and Buffalo Bills 26.9. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -290.

Prediction
Buffalo Bills to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Baltimore Ravens 25, Buffalo Bills 27
Projected total
51.5 points
Best bet
Under 59.5 points at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 59.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ravens to win
39% chancePrice +164+1.9% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bills 57% and Baltimore Ravens 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at -198.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bills won 4 of their last 5 and Baltimore Ravens won 3 of their last 5. Buffalo Bills come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bills won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Baltimore Ravens won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bills score 29.4 points a game and let in 23.7. Baltimore Ravens score 25.7 and let in 17.4. Their recent games average 53.1 and 43.1 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 59.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ravensteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills shade it

The big picture

Buffalo Bills host Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Highmark Stadium. Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 24.6 and Buffalo Bills 26.9. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -290.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 588 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 514 points scored and 349 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Ravens to score about 24.6 points and Buffalo Bills about 26.9. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Under 59.5 points at -290. Our bold bet is Ravens to win at +164.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BillsRavens
Games played2020
Wins1514
Losses56
Points scored588514
Points conceded474349
Scored per game29.425.7
Conceded per game23.717.4
Home record7W 2L5W 4L
Away record8W 3L9W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bills to win57%-134-198-13.7%
Ravens to win39%+159+164+1.9%
Bills -3.545%+121-110-13.6%
Ravens +3.550%-101-110-4.2%
Over 52.5 points46%+119-110-12.8%
Under 52.5 points50%+101-110-5.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Bills spreadCoversFair
Bills -9.530%+239
Bills -5.540%+147
Bills -2.549%+103
Bills +0.558%-138
Bills +4.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
44.570%30%
48.559%41%
51.550%50%
54.541%59%
58.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bills +3.5 wins if Bills win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 24.6 and Buffalo Bills 26.9. Our best bet is Under 59.5 points at -290.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?

We project Baltimore Ravens 24.6 and Buffalo Bills 26.9, about 51.5 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 588 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 514 points scored and 349 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills?

Under 59.5 points at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bills against Ravens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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