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Predictions › Germany › Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 17:30 Germany time

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Allianz Arena

Bayern MunichHome
2.58 : 1.17
expected goals
Borussia DortmundAway
67%Bayern
18%Draw
15%Dortmund
Eagle safe pickBayern Munich or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Bayern Munich to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Bayern Munich 2.6, Borussia Dortmund 1.2
Best bet
Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bayern Munich or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bayern Munich to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bayern Munich 67%, the draw 18% and Borussia Dortmund 15%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayern Munich the favourite at 1.32.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bayern Munich took 11 points from their last 5 games and Borussia Dortmund took 8 from 5. Bayern Munich come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bayern Munich won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Borussia Dortmund won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bayern Munich score 3.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Borussia Dortmund score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of Bayern Munich games and 11 of Borussia Dortmund games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bayern Munich won 2 and Borussia Dortmund won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Borussia Dortmund 2, Bayern Munich 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bayern Munich or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bayernrecent form+3%
  • Dortmundrest between games-5%
Bayern form D D D W WDortmund form D D L D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: Bayern Munich are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bayern Munich host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 at Allianz Arena. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18.

Bayern Munich form

Bayern Munich have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bayern Munich won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Borussia Dortmund 2, Bayern Munich 3.

Our call

We expect Bayern Munich to score about 2.6 goals and Borussia Dortmund about 1.2. That points to Bayern Munich to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Bayern Munich to win and both score at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BayernDortmund
Games played2020
Wins1413
Draws52
Losses15
Goals scored7037
Goals conceded2920
Scored per game3.51.9
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record8W 2D 0L7W 1D 2L
Away record6W 3D 1L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals85%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bayern Munich to win67%1.501.32-11.8%
A Draw17%5.775.25-9.0%
Borussia Dortmund to win15%6.886.50-5.5%
Over 4.5 goals40%2.482.15-13.3%
Under 4.5 goals55%1.811.61-11.2%
Bayern Munich -1.548%2.081.74-16.3%
Borussia Dortmund +1.548%2.091.87-10.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%1.94
Both teams to score64%1.56
Bayern Munich or Draw85%1.17
Borussia Dortmund or Draw33%3.06
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.554%1.86
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.511%9.17
Bayern Munich clean sheet31%3.22
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet8%13.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
3-17.9%
2-07.8%
1-17.5%
3-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund is Bayern Munich to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Bayern Munich to score 2.6 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.2.

Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Bayern Munich last 20 games and 9 of Borussia Dortmund last 20.

How are Bayern Munich playing?

Bayern Munich have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund last met?

It ended Borussia Dortmund 2, Bayern Munich 3. In the last 2 meetings Bayern Munich won 2 and Borussia Dortmund won 0.

What is the best bet for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bayern against Dortmund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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