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Predictions › United States › Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium

Baylor BearsAway
26.2 : 30.7
projected points
Kansas JayhawksHome
42%Baylor
58%Kansas
Eagle safe pickOver 46.5 points
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 26.2 and Kansas Jayhawks 30.7. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -293.

Prediction
Kansas Jayhawks to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Baylor Bears 26, Kansas Jayhawks 31
Projected total
56.9 points
Best bet
Over 46.5 points at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Baylor to win
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas Jayhawks 58% and Baylor Bears 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas Jayhawks won 2 of their last 5 and Baylor Bears won 4 of their last 5. Baylor Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas Jayhawks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Baylor Bears won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas Jayhawks score 28.4 points a game and let in 26.7. Baylor Bears score 31.7 and let in 25.3. Their recent games average 55.1 and 56.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 46.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks: Kansas Jayhawks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kansas Jayhawks host Baylor Bears in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 26.2 and Kansas Jayhawks 30.7. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -293.

Kansas Jayhawks form

Kansas Jayhawks have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 397 points scored and 374 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Baylor Bears form

Baylor Bears have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 379 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Baylor Bears to score about 26.2 points and Kansas Jayhawks about 30.7. That points to Kansas Jayhawks to win. Our safest bet is Over 46.5 points at -293. Our bold bet is Baylor to win at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

KansasBaylor
Games played1415
Wins58
Losses97
Points scored397475
Points conceded374379
Scored per game28.431.7
Conceded per game26.725.3
Home record4W 5L6W 3L
Away record1W 4L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kansas spreadCoversFair
Kansas -11.533%+201
Kansas -7.543%+134
Kansas -4.550%-101
Kansas -1.558%-136
Kansas +2.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
49.568%32%
53.558%42%
56.551%49%
59.544%56%
63.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas +3.5 wins if Kansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Baylor Quarterback DJ Lagway Expected to Return Against Colorado

Baylor quarterback DJ Lagway is expected to return from an ankle injury this Saturday to face Colorado.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

ASU Coach Questions Rest Disparity Before London Game

Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham expressed frustration over scheduling differences ahead of the historic Wembley Stadium matchup against Kansas.

15 Sept 2026
College Football

Drinkwitz Rips Kansas Border War Hype After Missouri Win

Missouri coach Eli Drinkwitz blasted Kansas for using pre-Civil War history to hype up their football rivalry after the Tigers' 38-21 win.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks?

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 26.2 and Kansas Jayhawks 30.7. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -293.

What is the projected score for Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks?

We project Baylor Bears 26.2 and Kansas Jayhawks 30.7, about 56.9 points in total.

How are Kansas Jayhawks playing?

Kansas Jayhawks have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 397 points scored and 374 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Baylor Bears playing?

Baylor Bears have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 379 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks?

Over 46.5 points at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas against Baylor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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