Predictions › United Kingdom › Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Gtech Community Stadium

BrentfordHome
1.69 : 1.26
expected goals
Nottingham ForestAway
47%Brentford
25%Draw
28%Nottm Forest
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest is Brentford to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Brentford to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brentford 1.7, Nottingham Forest 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brentford to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brentford 47%, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Brentford the favourite at Evens.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brentford took 8 points from their last 5 games and Nottingham Forest took 4 from 5. Brentford come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brentford won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Nottingham Forest won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brentford score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Nottingham Forest score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Brentford games and 9 of Nottingham Forest games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Brentford won 0 and Nottingham Forest won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Brentford 0, Nottingham Forest 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brentfordrecent form+3%
  • Nottm Forestrecent form-1%
Brentford form D D W W DNottm Forest form D L L W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: Brentford are favourites

The big picture

Brentford host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Gtech Community Stadium. Our prediction for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest is Brentford to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Brentford form

Brentford have 5 wins, 12 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Nottingham Forest form

Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Brentford won 0, Nottingham Forest won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Brentford 0, Nottingham Forest 2.

Our call

We expect Brentford to score about 1.7 goals and Nottingham Forest about 1.3. That points to Brentford to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Brentford to win and Over 2.5 at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrentfordNottm Forest
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws126
Losses37
Goals scored3428
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game1.71.4
Conceded per game1.21.2
Home record3W 5D 1L3W 4D 4L
Away record2W 7D 2L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals70%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Brentford to win46%6/5Evens-7.8%
A Draw24%3/111/4-10.6%
Nottingham Forest to win26%11/412/5-11.3%
Over 2.5 goals51%10/118/11-12.3%
Under 2.5 goals45%5/421/20-8.3%
Brentford -0.546%6/510/11-11.5%
Nottingham Forest +0.550%Evens8/11-13.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals57%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%15/8
Both teams to score59%4/6
Brentford or Draw72%2/5
Nottingham Forest or Draw53%10/11
Brentford to win and Over 2.531%11/5
Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Brentford clean sheet29%5/2
Nottingham Forest clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.4%
1-08.2%
2-07.5%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Our prediction for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest is Brentford to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Brentford to score 1.7 goals and Nottingham Forest 1.3.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Brentford last 20 games and 10 of Nottingham Forest last 20.

How are Brentford playing?

Brentford have 5 wins, 12 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Nottingham Forest playing?

Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Brentford and Nottingham Forest last met?

It ended Brentford 0, Nottingham Forest 2. In the last 1 meeting Brentford won 0 and Nottingham Forest won 1.

What is the best bet for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brentford against Nottm Forest. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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