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Predictions › United Kingdom › Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford
Premier LeagueSun 8 Nov, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford prediction

American Express Stadium

Brighton & Hove AlbionHome
1.82 : 1.11
expected goals
BrentfordAway
53%Brighton
24%Draw
22%Brentford
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brighton & Hove Albion 1.8, Brentford 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion 53%, the draw 24% and Brentford 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 5/6.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brighton & Hove Albion took 8 points from their last 5 games and Brentford took 5 from 5. Brighton & Hove Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brighton & Hove Albion won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Brentford won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brighton & Hove Albion score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Brentford score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Brighton & Hove Albion games and 14 of Brentford games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2 and Brentford won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Brentford 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brightonrecent form+1%
  • Brightonrest between games-5%
  • Brentfordrest between games-5%
Brighton form D L D W WBrentford form D D L D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brighton & Hove Albion host Brentford in the Premier League on Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at American Express Stadium. Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Brentford form

Brentford have 5 wins, 11 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brighton & Hove Albion won 2, Brentford won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Brentford 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 2.

Our call

We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score about 1.8 goals and Brentford about 1.1. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrightonBrentford
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws411
Losses54
Goals scored4535
Goals conceded2126
Scored per game2.31.8
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record7W 1D 1L3W 5D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L2W 6D 3L
Clean sheets50%25%
Both teams scored35%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Brighton & Hove Albion to win49%21/205/6-7.7%
A Draw24%10/311/4-10.4%
Brentford to win22%7/211/4-18.2%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/114/7-16.7%
Under 2.5 goals41%7/55/4-7.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion -0.548%11/104/5-13.8%
Brentford +0.546%6/55/6-15.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score57%8/11
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw78%2/7
Brentford or Draw47%11/10
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.536%9/5
Brentford to win and Over 2.514%13/2
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet33%2/1
Brentford clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.8%
1-09.1%
2-08.9%
0-06.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Top European clubs show interest in Brighton defender Luka Vuskovic

Big teams across Europe are chasing Brighton defender Luka Vuskovic while several other top players attract transfer attention.

24 Oct 2026
Premier League

Diego Gomez scores wonder goal from 55 yards as Brighton crush Palace

Diego Gomez scored a 55.7 yard goal in Brighton's 5-0 victory over Crystal Palace, putting him among the Premier League's top long range scorers.

19 Oct 2026
Premier League

Diego Gómez Scores From 56 Yards In Brighton Blitz

Diego Gómez scored from 56 yards out as Brighton struck three times in ten minutes against Crystal Palace.

18 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score 1.8 goals and Brentford 1.1.

Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20 games and 14 of Brentford last 20.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Brentford playing?

Brentford have 5 wins, 11 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford last met?

It ended Brentford 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 2. In the last 2 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 2 and Brentford won 0.

What is the best bet for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brighton against Brentford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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