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Predictions › United States › Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders
NFLSun 18 Oct, 16:25 United States time

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

Allegiant Stadium

Buffalo BillsAway
27.5 : 22.1
projected points
Las Vegas RaidersHome
68%Bills
32%Raiders
Eagle safe pickBills to win
-230

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 27.5 and Las Vegas Raiders 22.1. Our best bet is Bills to win at -230.

Prediction
Buffalo Bills to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Buffalo Bills 28, Las Vegas Raiders 22
Projected total
49.7 points
Best bet
Bills to win at -230

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bills to win
67% chancePrice -2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Raiders 32% and Buffalo Bills 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at -230.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 5 and Buffalo Bills won 4 of their last 5. Buffalo Bills come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Buffalo Bills won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Raiders score 16.4 points a game and let in 24.1. Buffalo Bills score 29.3 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 40.5 and 51.3 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Bills to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders: Buffalo Bills are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Las Vegas Raiders host Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 16:25 at Allegiant Stadium. Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 27.5 and Las Vegas Raiders 22.1. Our best bet is Bills to win at -230.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 327 points scored and 482 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 586 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Bills to score about 27.5 points and Las Vegas Raiders about 22.1. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Bills to win at -230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RaidersBills
Games played2020
Wins615
Losses145
Points scored327586
Points conceded482440
Scored per game16.429.3
Conceded per game24.122.0
Home record3W 8L8W 2L
Away record3W 6L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Raiders to win32%+209+190-6.3%
Bills to win67%-201-230-4.1%
Raiders +4.544%+126-110-15.5%
Bills -4.549%+104-110-6.5%
Over 51.5 points41%+142-110-21.0%
Under 51.5 points52%-108-110-1.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Raiders spreadCoversFair
Raiders -1.531%+227
Raiders +2.542%+140
Raiders +5.550%-102
Raiders +8.559%-145
Raiders +12.570%-235
Total pointsOverUnder
42.571%29%
46.560%40%
49.551%49%
52.541%59%
56.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Raiders +3.5 wins if Raiders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

How Klint Kubiak Transformed the Las Vegas Raiders Offense

The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-0 thanks to a dramatic offensive turnaround led by head coach Klint Kubiak and veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins.

3 Oct 2026
NFL

Buffalo Bills Survive Five Turnovers to Beat Chargers 24-16

Despite committing five turnovers, the Buffalo Bills improved to 3-0 with a gritty 24-16 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers.

28 Sept 2026
NFL

Veteran Kirk Cousins Has the Las Vegas Raiders Flying High at 2-0

Kirk Cousins has thrown six touchdowns in two games, leading the Las Vegas Raiders to their first 2-0 start since 2021.

21 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 68% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 27.5 and Las Vegas Raiders 22.1. Our best bet is Bills to win at -230.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders?

We project Buffalo Bills 27.5 and Las Vegas Raiders 22.1, about 49.7 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 327 points scored and 482 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 586 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Bills to win at -230, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Raiders against Bills. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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