Predictions › United States › Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers
NFLThu 29 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers prediction

Lambeau Field

Carolina PanthersAway
19.5 : 25.4
projected points
Green Bay PackersHome
27%Panthers
73%Packers
Eagle safe pickPackers to win
-340

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Carolina Panthers 19.5 and Green Bay Packers 25.4. Our best bet is Packers to win at -340.

Prediction
Green Bay Packers to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Carolina Panthers 20, Green Bay Packers 25
Projected total
44.9 points
Best bet
Packers to win at -340

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Packers to win
73% chancePrice -3401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panthers to win
27% chancePrice +2701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Green Bay Packers 73% and Carolina Panthers 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Green Bay Packers the favourite at -340.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Green Bay Packers won 4 of their last 5 and Carolina Panthers won 3 of their last 5. Green Bay Packers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Green Bay Packers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Carolina Panthers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Green Bay Packers score 21.8 points a game and let in 22.3. Carolina Panthers score 22.0 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 44.0 and 45.7 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Green Bay Packers won 0 and Carolina Panthers won 1. The last one ended Green Bay Packers 13, Carolina Panthers 16.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Packers to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Packersrest between games-5%
  • Panthersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers: Green Bay Packers are favourites

The big picture

Green Bay Packers host Carolina Panthers in the NFL on Thu 29 Oct, 20:15 at Lambeau Field. Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Carolina Panthers 19.5 and Green Bay Packers 25.4. Our best bet is Packers to win at -340.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 436 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Carolina Panthers form

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 440 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Green Bay Packers won 0, Carolina Panthers won 1. Last time out it finished Green Bay Packers 13, Carolina Panthers 16.

Our call

We expect Carolina Panthers to score about 19.5 points and Green Bay Packers about 25.4. That points to Green Bay Packers to win. Our safest bet is Packers to win at -340. Our bold bet is Panthers to win at +270.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PackersPanthers
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Points scored436440
Points conceded445474
Scored per game21.822.0
Conceded per game22.323.7
Home record5W 4L4W 5L
Away record5W 6L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Packers to win73%-276-340-5.1%
Panthers to win27%+271+270-0.4%
Packers -746%+118-110-12.4%
Panthers +750%-101-110-4.0%
Over 45.5 points47%+113-110-10.3%
Under 45.5 points49%+103-110-6.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Packers spreadCoversFair
Packers -12.531%+222
Packers -8.542%+137
Packers -5.551%-104
Packers -2.560%-149
Packers +1.571%-241
Total pointsOverUnder
37.572%28%
41.560%40%
44.551%49%
47.542%58%
51.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Packers +3.5 wins if Packers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers?

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 73% chance. We project Carolina Panthers 19.5 and Green Bay Packers 25.4. Our best bet is Packers to win at -340.

What is the projected score for Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers?

We project Carolina Panthers 19.5 and Green Bay Packers 25.4, about 44.9 points in total.

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 436 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Carolina Panthers playing?

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 440 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Green Bay Packers and Carolina Panthers last met?

It ended Green Bay Packers 13, Carolina Panthers 16. In the last 1 meeting Green Bay Packers won 0 and Carolina Panthers won 1.

What is the best bet for Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers?

Packers to win at -340, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Packers against Panthers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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