Predictions › United States › Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns
NBAThu 12 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns prediction

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Charlotte HornetsAway
108.9 : 108.3
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
55%Hornets
45%Suns
Eagle safe pickHornets +7.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 108.9 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Hornets +7.5 at -305.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Charlotte Hornets 109, Phoenix Suns 108
Projected total
217.3 points
Best bet
Hornets +7.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +7.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 45% and Charlotte Hornets 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Charlotte Hornets won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte Hornets won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 109.0 points a game and let in 115.6. Charlotte Hornets score 103.6 and let in 110.5. Their recent games average 224.7 and 214.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 1 and Charlotte Hornets won 1. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 127, Phoenix Suns 107.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hornetsrest between games-5%
  • Hornetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns: Charlotte Hornets shade it

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Charlotte Hornets in the NBA on Thu 12 Nov, 21:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 108.9 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Hornets +7.5 at -305.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2072 points scored and 2210 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 1, Charlotte Hornets won 1. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 127, Phoenix Suns 107.

Our call

We expect Charlotte Hornets to score about 108.9 points and Phoenix Suns about 108.3. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +7.5 at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsHornets
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Points scored21812072
Points conceded23122210
Scored per game109.0103.6
Conceded per game115.6110.5
Home record4W 6L6W 5L
Away record2W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -5.531%+220
Suns -2.540%+149
Suns +0.550%+101
Suns +3.559%-145
Suns +6.568%-214
Total pointsOverUnder
211.563%37%
214.556%44%
217.550%50%
220.543%57%
223.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 108.9 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Hornets +7.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Charlotte Hornets 108.9 and Phoenix Suns 108.3, about 217.3 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2312 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2072 points scored and 2210 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Charlotte Hornets last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 127, Phoenix Suns 107. In the last 2 meetings Phoenix Suns won 1 and Charlotte Hornets won 1.

What is the best bet for Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns?

Hornets +7.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Hornets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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